 Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $27 | 9.8¢ | 86¢ | +$205 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $76 | 41¢ | 60¢ | +$35 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Economy | No | $40 | 34¢ | 91¢ | +$66 |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $13 | 6.5¢ | 31¢ | +$49 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $9 | 6.2¢ | 45¢ | +$53 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $70 | 37¢ | 33¢ | -$8 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $40 | 17¢ | 25¢ | +$18 |
 Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $57 | 31¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
 National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?Politics | No | $59 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$7 |
 Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 27¢ | 89¢ | +$36 |
 Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Politics | No | $19 | 36¢ | 95¢ | +$31 |
 Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $24 | 17¢ | 34¢ | +$23 |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?Politics | No | $31 | 12¢ | 18¢ | +$14 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $35 | 23¢ | 30¢ | +$9 |
| Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $22 | 15¢ | 28¢ | +$20 |
 Lula participates in debate before first round?Politics | Yes | $36 | 49¢ | 57¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?Politics | No | $33 | 25¢ | 31¢ | +$8 |
 Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $31 | 22¢ | 28¢ | +$8 |
 Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $18 | 38¢ | 81¢ | +$20 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $40 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Politics | No | $48 | 33¢ | 26¢ | -$11 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Crypto | Yes | $62 | 35¢ | 21¢ | -$25 |
 Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $36 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 8.2¢ | 13¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?Politics | No | $33 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $16 | 11¢ | 22¢ | +$16 |
 ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30?Tech | Yes | $39 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Politics | No | $26 | 29¢ | 34¢ | +$4 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $32 | 40¢ | 35¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $41 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$14 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?Economy | No | $21 | 51¢ | 67¢ | +$6 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $41 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | -$14 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?Politics | No | $20 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$5 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $36 | 17¢ | 11¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?Politics | No | $24 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $20 | 42¢ | 45¢ | +$1 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 29¢ | 20¢ | -$10 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 12¢ | 8.2¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Economy | Yes | $12 | 33¢ | 58¢ | +$9 |
 Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $8 | 7.4¢ | 19¢ | +$12 |
 Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 15¢ | 33¢ | +$11 |
 Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?Politics | Yes | $41 | 26¢ | 13¢ | -$21 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?Economy | Yes | $4 | 4.8¢ | 25¢ | +$16 |
 Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $24 | 28¢ | 23¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?Other | Yes | $17 | 33¢ | 35¢ | +$1 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $27 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$9 |
 Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?Other | Yes | $14 | 14¢ | 19¢ | +$4 |
 Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Politics | No | $20 | 54¢ | 47¢ | -$3 |
 Will Eduardo Riedel win the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 60¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $40 | 23¢ | 9.5¢ | -$23 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?Politics | No | $30 | 14¢ | 7.5¢ | -$13 |
 Will SER hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 29¢ | 41¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?Politics | No | $31 | 15¢ | 7.5¢ | -$15 |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?Politics | No | $33 | 13¢ | 6.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?Politics | Yes | $17 | 31¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?Politics | No | $37 | 18¢ | 7.5¢ | -$22 |
 Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?Politics | No | $25 | 12¢ | 7.5¢ | -$9 |
 Will Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?Other | Yes | $14 | 36¢ | 38¢ | +$1 |
 Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 33¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 28¢ | 21¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?Politics | Yes | $25 | 11¢ | 6.1¢ | -$11 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Tech | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 68¢ | +$10 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $23 | 16¢ | 9.3¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?Politics | No | $20 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?Politics | No | $20 | 43¢ | 28¢ | -$7 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?Crypto | Yes | $38 | 19¢ | 6.5¢ | -$25 |
 StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $12 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 15¢ | 5.5¢ | -$21 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Economy | Yes | $5 | 16¢ | 38¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?Politics | No | $25 | 7.3¢ | 3.6¢ | -$12 |
 Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | No | $14 | 36¢ | 32¢ | -$2 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?Politics | Yes | $36 | 38¢ | 13¢ | -$24 |
 Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 22?Tech | No | $13 | 33¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?Politics | No | $28 | 11¢ | 4.5¢ | -$17 |
 Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 22¢ | 19¢ | -$2 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $6 | 30¢ | 52¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?Politics | Yes | $15 | 13¢ | 8.9¢ | -$5 |
| Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?Other | Yes | $20 | 50¢ | 26¢ | -$10 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Tech | Yes | $5 | 38¢ | 75¢ | +$5 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Economy | Yes | $6 | 16¢ | 28¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat?Politics | No | $23 | 10¢ | 4.3¢ | -$13 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?Crypto | Yes | $45 | 24¢ | 5.3¢ | -$35 |
 Eric Adams charged by December 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 20¢ | 26¢ | +$2 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $20 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$10 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Economy | Yes | $7 | 15¢ | 21¢ | +$3 |
| Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $30 | 15¢ | 4.8¢ | -$21 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 13¢ | 3.4¢ | -$27 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?Politics | No | $26 | 15¢ | 5.5¢ | -$17 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 17¢ | 4.0¢ | -$31 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 9.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections?Politics | Yes | $25 | 20¢ | 7.5¢ | -$16 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $40 | 33¢ | 7.5¢ | -$31 |
 Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $26 | 13¢ | 4.5¢ | -$17 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 11¢ | 7.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 24¢ | 7.5¢ | -$18 |
 Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?Tech | No | $22 | 39¢ | 15¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?Politics | No | $18 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$9 |
 Will William Peña Farfán win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 19¢ | +$4 |
Bought Yes · Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?$02h ago
Sold Yes · Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?$33h ago