← Whale Watch

Gijsbert

Predicting since Nov 2024123 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.9K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $1.6K riding on Popular Vote Winner 2024.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$5015¢6.5¢-$28
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$10031¢0.0¢-$100
Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?CultureYesResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $26m or more but less than $29m opening weekend?CultureYesResolved$53.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?PoliticsYesResolved$3023¢0.0¢-$30
US recession in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$3058¢0.0¢-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73–74°F on May 14?WeatherYesResolved$325¢0.0¢-$3
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?PoliticsYesResolved$2014¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?PoliticsNoResolved$109.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?PoliticsNoResolved$1031¢0.0¢-$10
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $23m or more but less than $26m opening weekend?CultureYesResolved$55.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2079¢0.0¢-$20
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$3013¢0.0¢-$30
Will Netherlands be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?CultureYesResolved$412¢0.0¢-$4
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$605.0¢0.0¢-$60
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?PoliticsNoResolved$304.7¢0.0¢-$30
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?CultureNoResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?PoliticsYesResolved$1014¢0.0¢-$10
Will Audra McDonald win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2025?CultureYesResolved$541¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Death Becomes Her" win the Tony for Best Original Score 2025?CultureYesResolved$109.7¢0.0¢-$10
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$53.0¢0.0¢-$5
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K72¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on May 11?WeatherYesResolved$746¢0.0¢-$7
Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$10049¢0.0¢-$100
Will "Maybe Happy Ending" win the Tony for Best Original Score 2025?CultureNoResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?CultureYesResolved$53.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66–67°F on May 14?WeatherYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $65-70m opening weekend?CultureYesResolved$1518¢0.0¢-$15
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$53.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Jonathan Groff win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Musical 2025?CultureYesResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?PoliticsYesResolved$3089¢0.0¢-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71–72°F on May 14?WeatherYesResolved$646¢0.0¢-$6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?PoliticsYesResolved$1035¢0.0¢-$10
Will Tom Francis win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Musical 2025?CultureYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August?PoliticsYesResolved$3035¢0.0¢-$30
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $70-75m opening weekend?CultureYesResolved$159.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?PoliticsNoResolved$1014¢0.0¢-$10
Will Laura Donnelly win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Play 2025?CultureYesResolved$1018¢0.0¢-$10
Will George Clooney win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Play 2025?CultureYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross less than $40m opening weekend?CultureYesResolved$64.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $33m and $37m?CultureYesResolved$2015¢0.0¢-$20
Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Will "John Proctor Is the Villain" win the Tony for Best Play 2025?CultureYesResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?PoliticsNoResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?EconomyYesResolved$125.3¢0.0¢-$12
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $33m?CultureYesResolved$2037¢0.0¢-$20
Will Sarah Snook win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Play 2025?CultureNoResolved$1522¢0.0¢-$15
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?PoliticsYesResolved$2036¢0.0¢-$20
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$50040¢0.0¢-$500
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNoResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$831¢0.0¢-$8
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$10031¢0.0¢-$100
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?CultureYesResolved$50.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$1026¢0.0¢-$10
Will "English" win the Tony for Best Play 2025?CultureYesResolved$43.5¢0.0¢-$4
Trump out as President in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$104.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Daniel Dae Kim win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Play 2025?CultureYesResolved$56.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$10023¢0.0¢-$100
Will another country be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?CultureYesResolved$54.8¢0.0¢-$5
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?EconomyYesResolved$3057¢0.0¢-$30
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?CultureYesResolved$54.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?PoliticsYesResolved$3047¢0.0¢-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on May 11?WeatherYesResolved$102.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will Louis McCartney win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Play 2025?CultureYesResolved$52.7¢0.0¢-$5
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?PoliticsYesResolved$109.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Han Duck-soo endorse PPP?PoliticsNoResolved$2531¢0.0¢-$25
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$5017¢0.0¢-$50
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Dead Outlaw" win the Tony for Best Original Score 2025?CultureYesResolved$1018¢0.0¢-$10
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?CultureYesResolved$1526¢0.0¢-$15
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?CultureYesResolved$1048¢0.0¢-$10
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?PoliticsYesResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu before June?PoliticsYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in October?PoliticsYesResolved$58.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will Megan Hilty win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2025?CultureYesResolved$103.8¢0.0¢-$10
Will Cole Escola win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Play 2025?CultureNoResolved$520¢0.0¢-$5
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?PoliticsYesResolved$4084¢0.0¢-$40

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.9K
Culture+$287
Economy-$26
Tech-$16
Weather-$11
Biggest hit
+$154
Will "Purpose" win the Tony for Best Play 2025?
Toughest beat
-$48
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$406mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$26mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump out as President before 2027?$506mo ago
  • Bought No · Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$306mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$506mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$86mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$306mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$126mo ago
  • Cashed out No · US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$426mo ago
  • Cashed out No · US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$546mo ago
  • Cashed out No · US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$676mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$206mo ago