← Whale Watch

tradhawk

Predicting since Feb 2026146 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$3083¢100¢+$6
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$3077¢83¢+$3
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?PoliticsNo$2071¢95¢+$7
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsYes$1563¢69¢+$1
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsNothing$1479¢83¢+$1
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?EconomyYes$1077¢73¢-$1
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$779¢80¢+$0
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?PoliticsYes$325¢43¢+$2
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in July?EconomyYes$582¢81¢-$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$525¢17¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$6052¢0.0¢-$60
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 2?WeatherYesResolved$556¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 6?WeatherNoResolved$2790¢0.0¢-$27
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$2062¢0.0¢-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 1?CryptoNoResolved$4979¢0.0¢-$49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?WeatherYesResolved$537¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$565¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 1?WeatherYesResolved$552¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 17?WeatherYesResolved$1034¢0.0¢-$10
Will Bernie say "Trillionaire" during Minneapolis Rally?MentionsYesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 3?CryptoYesResolved$923¢0.0¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 28?WeatherYesResolved$529¢0.0¢-$5
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1033¢0.0¢-$10
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?EconomyYesResolved$527¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12?CryptoYesResolved$4290¢0.0¢-$42
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 29?WeatherYesResolved$531¢0.0¢-$5
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2569¢0.0¢-$25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 20?WeatherYesResolved$540¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1555¢0.0¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 28?WeatherYesResolved$552¢0.0¢-$5
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?PoliticsYesResolved$2077¢0.0¢-$20
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1553¢0.0¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 10?WeatherYesResolved$1031¢0.0¢-$10
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$31.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1578¢0.0¢-$15
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 26?WeatherYesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3053¢0.0¢-$30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?WeatherNoResolved$5093¢0.0¢-$50
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$533¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 2?WeatherYesResolved$562¢0.0¢-$5
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?FinanceDownResolved$870¢0.0¢-$8
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$12052¢0.0¢-$120
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 25?WeatherYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 28?WeatherYesResolved$540¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1552¢0.0¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 22?WeatherYesResolved$563¢0.0¢-$5
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$561¢0.0¢-$5
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on April 1?CryptoNoResolved$4975¢0.0¢-$49
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 27?WeatherYesResolved$547¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 3?WeatherYesResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?WeatherYesResolved$1057¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 30?WeatherYesResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 21?WeatherYesResolved$554¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 21?WeatherYesResolved$530¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 7?WeatherYesResolved$1061¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 21?WeatherNoResolved$560¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 26?WeatherYesResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?EconomyYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will American Express say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 16?WeatherNoResolved$1062¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on May 23?WeatherYesResolved$547¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 15?WeatherYesResolved$1056¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 19?WeatherYesResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2055¢0.0¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 23?WeatherNoResolved$544¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 20?WeatherYesResolved$531¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$297
Politics+$149
Weather-$58
Mentions+$20
Finance-$8
Economy+$4
NBA+$3
World Cup-$3
Biggest hit
+$37
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Toughest beat
-$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation?$61d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$71d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?$102d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will American Express say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?$12d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump say "Fraud" during remarks in Georgia?$93d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Fraud" during remarks in Georgia?$54d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$55d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Bernie say "Trillionaire" during Minneapolis Rally?$25d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$96d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$56d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$58d ago