 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Politics | No | $732 | 60¢ | 50¢ | -$130 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Politics | No | $3 | 80¢ | 50¢ | -$1 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $46 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
 Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $504 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$504 |
 Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $818 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$818 |
 Will Apple launch a HomePod on September 9?Tech | YesResolved | $140 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$140 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.5% on July 4?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will ARC Raiders win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?Other sports | YesResolved | $576 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$576 |
 Will USA Rare Earth (USAR) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $63 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
| Will Split Fiction win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?Other sports | YesResolved | $384 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$384 |
| Will Apple launch an AirTag on September 9?Tech | YesResolved | $184 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$184 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?Politics | YesResolved | $247 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$247 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? Politics | YesResolved | $89 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$89 |
 Will Mediterranean Sea Rescue organizations win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $351 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$351 |
 Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Other sports | YesResolved | $2.1K | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.1K |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $3.8K | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.8K |
 Will Split Fiction win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sports | YesResolved | $24 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $12 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $16 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $65m and $70m?Culture | YesResolved | $115 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
 Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $78 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
 U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?Politics | YesResolved | $247 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$247 |
| Will Apple launch a new Apple TV on September 9?Tech | YesResolved | $192 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$192 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Cynthia Erivo (Wicked: For Good) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture | YesResolved | $128 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$128 |
 Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $80m?Culture | NoResolved | $5 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in September?Politics | NoResolved | $759 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$759 |
 Will MrBeast raise 40m on Tuesday September 2 or later?Culture | YesResolved | $118 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$118 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 17?Economy | YesResolved | $13 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $351 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$351 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5.5K | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.5K |
 Will AppLovin buy TikTok?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Battlefield 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sports | NoResolved | $27 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sports | YesResolved | $2.0K | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
 Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $221 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$221 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Politics | YesResolved | $2.8K | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.8K |
 Will India strike Pakistan by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $37 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Papa John’s International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $126 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
| Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?Culture | YesResolved | $21 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 17?Economy | NoResolved | $336 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$336 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?Politics | YesResolved | $201 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$201 |
 Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $377 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$377 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Ghost of Yōtei win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sports | YesResolved | $20 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $34 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will Trump say "Hillary" this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $443 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$443 |
| Will Emma Stone (Bugonia) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture | YesResolved | $585 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$585 |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?Other sports | YesResolved | $1.6K | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Culture | NoResolved | $1.2K | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | NoResolved | $134 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$134 |
| Will Apple launch another iPhone on September 9?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast EditionCulture | NoResolved | $162 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$162 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September?Politics | NoResolved | $313 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$313 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1.9K | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $1.6K | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
 Will GoPro (GPRO) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $142 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$142 |
| Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?Politics | YesResolved | $247 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$247 |
 Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $230 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Apple launch a Glasses/Headset on September 9?Tech | YesResolved | $43 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $43M?Culture | YesResolved | $16 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Pakistan strike on India by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $13K | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13K |
 Will "Elio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $26-29m?Culture | YesResolved | $620 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$620 |
 US military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics | NoResolved | $1.3K | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will Split Fiction win Best Multiplayer Game at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sports | YesResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $138 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$138 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Culture | YesResolved | $197 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$197 |
 Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $247 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$247 |
 Will anyone say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $654 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$654 |
| Will "Elio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $23-26m?Culture | YesResolved | $670 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$670 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $22 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Split Fiction win Best Game on Steam Deck at the 2025 Steam Awards?Other sports | YesResolved | $184 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$184 |
 Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | NoResolved | $3.7K | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.7K |
 Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $1.3K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
 DeepSeek banned in US before July?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will no leader be out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $98 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
| Will Taylor Swift be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $467 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$467 |
| Will "Elio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $20-23m?Culture | NoResolved | $21 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $23 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $138 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$138 |
| Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?Other sports | YesResolved | $576 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$576 |
 Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 24m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $376 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$376 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $55 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
 Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $146 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$146 |
Sold Yes · OpenAI acquired before 2027?$55mo ago
Cashed out No · New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $35K5mo ago
Sold No · Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$1656mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$1416mo ago
Sold No · Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?$1.0K6mo ago