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Predicting since May 2025283 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $225K on Politics markets since May 2025.

Right now: $148K riding on Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$28K on Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics	No	$148K	85¢	85¢	-$922
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	No	$123K	87¢	94¢	+$9.1K
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$74K	90¢	95¢	+$3.8K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$38K	87¢	87¢	-$206
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$18K	65¢	66¢	+$264
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	No	$18K	96¢	96¢	-$25
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics	No	$13K	80¢	84¢	+$570
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$13K	93¢	95¢	+$280
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$10K	92¢	99¢	+$733
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis	No	$4.3K	96¢	94¢	-$67
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	No	$3.7K	91¢	86¢	-$208
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?Politics	No	$2.6K	92¢	95¢	+$71
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	No	$1.9K	97¢	94¢	-$48
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics	No	$1.7K	96¢	96¢	-$1
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Politics	Yes	$1.3K	65¢	42¢	-$470
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics	Yes	$416	98¢	99¢	+$5
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$27	53¢	53¢	-$0
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Politics	Yes	$4	44¢	54¢	+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$225K

World Cup+$28K

Tennis-$23K

Soccer (other)+$8.6K

Champions League-$8.2K

Weather+$6.5K

Olympics+$5.2K

Premier League+$4.8K

Hockey (other)+$3.4K

Tech-$1.7K

Crypto+$1.2K

NBA+$1.2K

Biggest hit

+$28K

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Toughest beat

-$16K

US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?$44h ago
Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.0K4h ago
Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.5K4h ago
Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.6K14h ago
Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$514h ago
Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$014h ago
Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$83615h ago
Cashed out No · Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?$13K20h ago
Cashed out No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$15K1d ago
Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.0K1d ago
Bought No · Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?$871d ago
Bought No · Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?$401d ago