← Whale Watch
aff3
Up $225K on Politics markets since May 2025.
Right now: $287K riding on Fed Decision in July?.
Biggest hit: +$28K on Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $287K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$145 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $133K | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$6.8K |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $74K | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$499 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $29K | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$2.5K |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $12K | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$1.4K |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $12K | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$248 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.9K | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$107 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $973 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $438 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $170 | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics+$225K
Tennis-$21K
World Cup+$19K
Soccer (other)+$8.6K
Champions League-$8.2K
Weather+$6.5K
Olympics+$5.2K
Premier League+$4.3K
Hockey (other)+$3.4K
Tech-$1.7K
Crypto+$1.2K
NBA+$1.2K
Biggest hit
+$28K
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Toughest beat
-$16K
US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Recent moves
- Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$17019m ago
- Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$96623m ago
- Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$723m ago
- Cashed out No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$6.3K1d ago
- Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$71d ago
- Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$41d ago
- Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$6881d ago
- Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$2981d ago
- Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$201d ago
- Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$11d ago
- Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$1622d ago
- Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$192d ago