← Whale Watch

WharfMan

Predicting since Jul 2024672 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $29K on Crypto markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $32K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$17K on US recession in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$27K85¢83¢-$541
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$5.5K84¢84¢-$20
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$5.0K83¢84¢+$60
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$5.4K64¢42¢-$1.9K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.9K97¢99¢+$76
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$1.8K73¢88¢+$365
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1.6K79¢87¢+$140
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$2.2K54¢34¢-$799
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1.2K58¢56¢-$38
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$93596¢99¢+$20
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$92023¢20¢-$120
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$54468¢99¢+$252
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$67067¢63¢-$40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4.7K66¢8.5¢-$4.1K
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsYes$40860¢82¢+$150
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$99066¢36¢-$457
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3.1K99¢14¢-$2.6K
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$1.0K70¢19¢-$772
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$19482¢86¢+$8
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2.6K48¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will Lionel Messi score 13+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2041.6¢0.0¢-$204
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2.7K18¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$77019¢0.0¢-$770
Will Kylian Mbappe score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3503.5¢0.0¢-$350
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$2.0K31¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Lionel Messi score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3646.1¢0.0¢-$364
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$1.1K13¢0.0¢-$1.1K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$29K
Tech-$18K
World Cup+$15K
Economy+$14K
Finance-$13K
Politics+$10K
Premier League-$9.5K
Other-$8.4K
Soccer (other)-$6.8K
Culture-$6.4K
Champions League+$4.2K
Olympics-$4.1K
Biggest hit
+$17K
US recession in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$15K
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$32h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$12h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$822d ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$382d ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$12d ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$12d ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$12d ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$12d ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$12d ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$12d ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$12d ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$12d ago