DarrenSmith

Predicting since Jul 202553 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$10	14¢	3.8¢	-$7
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics	Yes	$5	25¢	7.0¢	-$4
Ethereum Up or Down on August 21?Crypto	UpResolved	$27	30¢	0.0¢	-$27
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?Politics	NoResolved	$16	11¢	0.0¢	-$16
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?Crypto	UpResolved	$6	57¢	0.0¢	-$6
Ethereum Up or Down on August 19?Crypto	UpResolved	$15	49¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Crypto	YesResolved	$60	35¢	0.0¢	-$60
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3?Crypto	UpResolved	$10	52¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$9	6.8¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 21?Weather	YesResolved	$6	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$6
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$10	8.3¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$10	17¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$5	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
2025 August hottest on record?Weather	YesResolved	$15	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$15
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$11	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Estée Lauder Companies (EL) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$10	20¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13?Crypto	DownResolved	$35	59¢	0.0¢	-$35
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$10	25¢	0.0¢	-$10
Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?Crypto	UpResolved	$20	50¢	0.0¢	-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?Crypto	UpResolved	$15	49¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 21?Weather	YesResolved	$20	13¢	0.0¢	-$20
Ethereum Up or Down on August 17?Crypto	DownResolved	$5	50¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$12	29¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Politics	NoResolved	$10	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance+$96

Crypto+$71

Economy+$48

Weather-$41

Politics-$13

Tech+$9

Biggest hit

+$139

Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?

Toughest beat

-$16

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?

Recent moves

Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?$155mo ago
Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2?$125mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3?$105mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2?$105mo ago
Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21?$136mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$336mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 21?$106mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 21?$36mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21?$206mo ago
Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20?$146mo ago
Sold No · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?$156mo ago
Bought No · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?$06mo ago