informedtrader

Predicting since Dec 2025146 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $98K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $15K riding on US/Israel strikes Iran by...?.

Biggest hit: +$24K on Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?Tech	NoResolved	$4	41¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$15K	45¢	0.0¢	-$15K
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	11¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Politics	YesResolved	$0	23¢	0.0¢	-$0
Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?Politics	YesResolved	$5	11¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	NoResolved	$4	84¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?Politics	NoResolved	$2	14¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Economy	YesResolved	$1	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	11¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Francisco Javier Bellott win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$5	12¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?Politics	NoResolved	$1	83¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy	YesResolved	$1	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Economy	YesResolved	$4	8.3¢	0.0¢	-$4

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$98K

Crypto+$27K

eSports+$38

Tech-$34

Economy-$22

Weather-$7

Culture-$4

Biggest hit

+$24K

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Toughest beat

-$40K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Sold Yes · Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$04mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$04mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$04mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$04mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$04mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$04mo ago
Sold Yes · Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$04mo ago
Sold Yes · 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?$04mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$04mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$14mo ago
Sold No · SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$14mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$14mo ago