← Whale Watch

informedtrader

Predicting since Dec 2025146 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $57K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $15K riding on US/Israel strikes Iran by...?.

Biggest hit: +$24K on Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?TechNoResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$15K45¢0.0¢-$15K
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?PoliticsNoResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?EconomyYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Francisco Javier Bellott win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?PoliticsNoResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?EconomyYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?EconomyYesResolved$48.3¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$57K
Crypto+$24K
eSports+$38
Economy-$12
Weather-$7
Tech+$0
Culture+$0
Biggest hit
+$24K
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Toughest beat
-$40K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$13mo ago
  • Sold No · SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$13mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$13mo ago