← Whale Watch

arnon20

Predicting since Jan 202663 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$103.5¢0.0¢-$10
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$305.0¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2123¢0.0¢-$21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2253¢0.0¢-$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$10041¢0.0¢-$100
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$153.6¢0.0¢-$15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24765¢0.0¢-$247
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10645¢0.0¢-$106
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$3160¢0.0¢-$31
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$113.6¢0.0¢-$11
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$31.1¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$4932¢0.0¢-$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$3050¢0.0¢-$30
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$102.4¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$62.7¢0.0¢-$6
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1520¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$3137¢0.0¢-$31
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$105.4¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$5128¢0.0¢-$51
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2613¢0.0¢-$26
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9550¢0.0¢-$95
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$131.9¢0.0¢-$13
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$31.2¢0.0¢-$3
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30.7¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$4949¢0.0¢-$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$9942¢0.0¢-$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$3050¢0.0¢-$30
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$31.9¢0.0¢-$3
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2022¢0.0¢-$20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8533¢0.0¢-$85
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3943¢0.0¢-$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$9941¢0.0¢-$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2522¢0.0¢-$25
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20045¢0.0¢-$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3652¢0.0¢-$36
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4942¢0.0¢-$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$5123¢0.0¢-$51
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$13351¢0.0¢-$133
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2039¢0.0¢-$20
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30.6¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$9927¢0.0¢-$99
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$4938¢0.0¢-$49

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$675
Crypto-$364
Biggest hit
+$153
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1234mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1014mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$604mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$504mo ago
  • Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$824mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1004mo ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$04mo ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$2464mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1004mo ago
  • Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$2274mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1004mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1004mo ago