Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $1.8K | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$1.8K |
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $202 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $150 | 54¢ | 66¢ | +$32 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $72 | 51¢ | 54¢ | +$4 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $51 | 36¢ | 53¢ | +$23 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $62 | 50¢ | 53¢ | +$3 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $84 | 47¢ | 34¢ | -$23 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $45 | 57¢ | 68¢ | +$8 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $23 | 26¢ | 47¢ | +$19 |
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $36 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $37 | 36¢ | 33¢ | -$4 |
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $32 | 71¢ | 64¢ | -$3 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 13¢ | 31¢ | +$13 |
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $15 | 24¢ | 30¢ | +$3 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $14 | 47¢ | 53¢ | +$2 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $12 | 40¢ | 53¢ | +$4 |
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $15 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $13 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$3 |
Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $9 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 27¢ | 48¢ | +$3 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 27¢ | 44¢ | +$3 |
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Politics | No | $7 | 74¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.8K |
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $5 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 71¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $7 | 49¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $4 | 71¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Politics | No | $4 | 73¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $4 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $12 | 12¢ | 3.7¢ | -$8 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 65¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | Yes | $2 | 35¢ | 61¢ | +$1 |
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 34¢ | 51¢ | +$1 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2 | 69¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 34¢ | 41¢ | +$0 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $3 | 65¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 47¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $3 | 2.2¢ | 1.2¢ | -$1 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.5¢ | 6.5¢ | +$0 |
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1 | 30¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 22¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $4 | 1.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$3 |
Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $23 | 17¢ | 0.8¢ | -$22 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | NoResolved | $4 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Yoav Kisch win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $97 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$97 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Moshe Saada win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?Politics | GrüneResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $96 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Amichai Chikli win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $11 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will David Bitan win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will 230-239 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Nir Barkat win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Miri Regev win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | NoResolved | $0 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Miki Zohar win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Almog Cohen win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will David Amsalem win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Israel Katz win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |