 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $2.0K | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$2.0K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $204 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $148 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $124 | 43¢ | 42¢ | -$5 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $82 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $52 | 42¢ | 62¢ | +$23 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $41 | 37¢ | 57¢ | +$23 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $49 | 55¢ | 64¢ | +$8 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $42 | 64¢ | 56¢ | -$5 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $30 | 49¢ | 44¢ | -$3 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 6.5¢ | 17¢ | +$16 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 50¢ | 0.5¢ | -$2.0K |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $14 | 12¢ | 17¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $7 | 11¢ | 30¢ | +$12 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $12 | 40¢ | 52¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 28¢ | 54¢ | +$5 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.6¢ | 34¢ | +$6 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $7 | 69¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 69¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 15¢ | 8.1¢ | -$4 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?Politics | Yes | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will 240-249 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $5 | 5.2¢ | 4.3¢ | -$1 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Politics | Yes | $4 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $3 | 2.1¢ | 2.6¢ | +$1 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 71¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 17¢ | +$1 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 65¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $3 | 3.2¢ | 3.4¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $2 | 1.1¢ | 1.9¢ | +$1 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1 | 30¢ | 32¢ | +$0 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.5¢ | 6.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$0 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $2 | 33¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?$117h ago