 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $41 | 3.2¢ | 4.3¢ | +$13 |
 Will Sterling K. Brown – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?Culture | No | $34 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Gary Oldman – “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?Culture | No | $34 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will Mark Ruffalo – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?Culture | No | $33 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $20 | 35¢ | 52¢ | +$9 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $15 | 27¢ | 34¢ | +$4 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Politics | No | $11 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?Politics | No | $10 | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Politics | No | $12 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Politics | No | $12 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Politics | No | $12 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
| Will Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?Culture | No | $10 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Will Chase Infiniti – “The Testaments” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?Culture | No | $6 | 59¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
| Will Zendaya – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?Culture | No | $10 | 98¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
| Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?Culture | No | $10 | 100¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $30 | 17¢ | 4.8¢ | -$21 |
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | No | $6 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $1 | 18¢ | 74¢ | +$4 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $5 | 9.1¢ | 8.9¢ | -$0 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?Economy | No | $5 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Economy | No | $5 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 2.50%?Economy | No | $5 | 99¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?Economy | No | $3 | 60¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Economy | No | $4 | 70¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?Economy | No | $5 | 99¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Economy | No | $5 | 99¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Economy | No | $3 | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 54¢ | 16¢ | -$5 |
| Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?Culture | No | $2 | 20¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
| Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?Culture | No | $14 | 41¢ | 5.2¢ | -$12 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $9 | 16¢ | 2.9¢ | -$7 |
 Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?Finance | NoResolved | $4 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $11 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Team Falcons to win 2-0?eSports | NoResolved | $5 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-09?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $2 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: Draw at halftime?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $3 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $14 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-07-10?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $7 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $31 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $16 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Aurora to win 2-0?eSports | NoResolved | $4 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $8 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will FK Dečić Tuzi win on 2026-07-09?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $21 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $9 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $20 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $6 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $7 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will FK Velež Mostar vs. FC Milsami Orhei end in a draw?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $11 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $6 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $16 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $7 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $9 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Danaher (DHR) Q2 non-GAAP core revenue growth <0%?Finance | YesResolved | $13 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $6 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $14 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $6 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $7 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-09?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $3 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $29 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Danaher (DHR) Q2 non-GAAP core revenue growth 0%-1.5%?Finance | YesResolved | $15 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $61 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?$493d ago
Sold No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$3024d ago
Cashed out No · Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election?$151mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?$151mo ago