 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $41 | 3.2¢ | 3.8¢ | +$7 |
| Will Sterling K. Brown – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?Culture | No | $34 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
| Will Gary Oldman – “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?Culture | No | $34 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will Mark Ruffalo – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?Culture | No | $33 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $27 | 55¢ | 69¢ | +$7 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $20 | 35¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $15 | 27¢ | 30¢ | +$2 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $30 | 17¢ | 9.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $17 | 35¢ | 31¢ | -$2 |
 Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $15 | 100¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 19¢ | 48¢ | +$9 |
 Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?Politics | No | $14 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?Politics | No | $15 | 100¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?Politics | No | $15 | 99¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?Politics | No | $12 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Politics | No | $12 | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Politics | No | $12 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?Politics | No | $10 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Politics | No | $12 | 94¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Politics | No | $11 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
| Will Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?Culture | No | $10 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Will Chase Infiniti – “The Testaments” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?Culture | No | $6 | 59¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
| Will Zendaya – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?Culture | No | $10 | 98¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
| Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | No | $8 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?Culture | No | $10 | 100¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 26¢ | 25¢ | -$0 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $4 | 8.0¢ | 12¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 58¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 51¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 99¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 22¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | No | $6 | 98¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | No | $6 | 98¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | No | $6 | 98¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $5 | 9.1¢ | 9.1¢ | -$0 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | No | $4 | 57¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 2.50%?Economy | No | $5 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?Economy | No | $5 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?Economy | No | $3 | 60¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Economy | No | $5 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?Economy | No | $5 | 97¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $9 | 16¢ | 8.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Economy | No | $5 | 99¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Economy | No | $4 | 70¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Politics | Yes | $2 | 35¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
| Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 42¢ | +$2 |
| Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?Culture | No | $14 | 41¢ | 8.5¢ | -$11 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Economy | No | $3 | 61¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
| Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $2 | 26¢ | 27¢ | +$0 |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $1 | 18¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
| Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?Culture | No | $2 | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 96¢ | 28¢ | -$5 |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 5.4¢ | -$3 |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 12¢ | 4.6¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 7.4¢ | 2.9¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?Finance | NoResolved | $4 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $11 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Team Falcons to win 2-0?eSports | NoResolved | $5 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-09?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $2 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: Draw at halftime?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $3 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $14 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-07-10?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $7 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $31 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $16 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Aurora to win 2-0?eSports | NoResolved | $4 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $8 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will FK Dečić Tuzi win on 2026-07-09?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $21 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $9 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $20 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $6 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $7 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will FK Velež Mostar vs. FC Milsami Orhei end in a draw?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $11 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
