Palmfrog

Predicting since Jul 202567 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $10.0K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $14K riding on Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026.

Biggest hit: +$6.3K on Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	No	$14K	90¢	97¢	+$1.1K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$5.2K	82¢	88¢	+$316
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$1.1K	5.9¢	12¢	+$1.1K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics	Yes	$499	24¢	24¢	-$11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$673	34¢	16¢	-$352
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$180	18¢	8.3¢	-$98
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$30	4.0¢	6.3¢	+$18
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$49	3.3¢	2.5¢	-$13
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$32	3.2¢	3.5¢	+$3
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$7	0.7¢	3.3¢	+$26
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$25	2.0¢	1.1¢	-$12
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$9	1.8¢	2.5¢	+$3
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$6	0.6¢	0.5¢	-$1
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$4	0.8¢	0.4¢	-$2
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$11	4.3¢	0.7¢	-$9
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$6	0.6¢	0.1¢	-$5
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$7	0.7¢	0.1¢	-$6
Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$2.5K	91¢	0.0¢	-$2.5K
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?NFL	YesResolved	$65	13¢	0.0¢	-$65
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$160	32¢	0.0¢	-$160
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$2.7K	88¢	0.0¢	-$2.7K
Fed rate cut in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$70	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$70
Bills vs. DolphinsNFL	BillsResolved	$100	82¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Politics	YesResolved	$501	81¢	0.0¢	-$501
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$1.9K	75¢	0.0¢	-$1.9K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$10.0K

Finance+$6.3K

Culture-$1.0K

Mentions+$75

NFL-$26

Biggest hit

+$6.3K

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Toughest beat

-$248

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$4210d ago
Bought Yes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$6611d ago
Bought Yes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$14011d ago
Bought Yes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$7514d ago
Bought Yes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$18615d ago