← Whale Watch

Palmfrog

Predicting since Jul 202566 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $9.3K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $14K riding on Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026.

Biggest hit: +$6.3K on Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$14K90¢96¢+$929
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$5.2K82¢87¢+$254
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$8155.3¢8.8¢+$546
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$67334¢20¢-$283
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$18018¢13¢-$55
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$304.0¢5.1¢+$8
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$493.3¢2.4¢-$15
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$323.2¢2.6¢-$6
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$70.7¢2.1¢+$14
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$252.0¢0.9¢-$13
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$91.8¢2.4¢+$3
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$60.6¢0.7¢+$1
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$60.6¢0.5¢-$1
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$114.3¢1.6¢-$7
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$40.8¢0.5¢-$1
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$70.7¢0.3¢-$5
Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$2.5K91¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$6513¢0.0¢-$65
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$16032¢0.0¢-$160
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$2.7K88¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Fed rate cut in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$707.0¢0.0¢-$70
Bills vs. DolphinsNFLBillsResolved$10082¢0.0¢-$100
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?PoliticsYesResolved$50181¢0.0¢-$501
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$1.9K75¢0.0¢-$1.9K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$9.3K
Finance+$6.3K
Culture-$1.0K
Mentions+$75
NFL-$26
Biggest hit
+$6.3K
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
Toughest beat
-$248
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$89d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1509d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$89d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$829d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$829d ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.4K9d ago