← Whale Watch

Nostdam

Predicting since Oct 20243,150 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.8K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $2.0K across 8 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.7K on Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$2.0K61¢64¢+$80
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?PoliticsNo$44460¢43¢-$127
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?TechYes$18555¢65¢+$32
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$18537¢38¢+$4
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?TechYes$16280¢91¢+$21
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?CultureNo$4265¢75¢+$7
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?PoliticsYes$72.8¢12¢+$21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsYes$2377¢85¢+$2
Will Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsYes$147.0¢10¢+$6
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$944¢59¢+$3
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?TechYes$880¢86¢+$1
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 10?PoliticsYes$22.8¢5.9¢+$3
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$729¢20¢-$2
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$1529¢8.5¢-$11
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6924¢0.9¢-$67
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8?PoliticsYes$1213¢1.6¢-$11
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?TechNo$413¢4.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$34.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 36 million views on day 3?CultureYesResolved$488.1¢0.0¢-$48
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$410¢0.0¢-$4
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnereSportsKarmine CorpResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Will MrBeast's video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6?CultureYesResolved$1510.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?CultureYesResolved$1876¢0.0¢-$18
Ducks vs. WildNHLDucksResolved$3215¢0.0¢-$32
Will Trump's remarks not air?MentionsYesResolved$43.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechNoResolved$4019¢0.0¢-$40
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 69 million views on day 4?CultureYesResolved$94.7¢0.0¢-$9
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1123¢0.0¢-$11
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnereSportsShopify RebellionResolved$6534¢0.0¢-$65
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$174.5¢0.0¢-$17
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?PoliticsYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3?CultureYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnereSportsTeam LiquidResolved$18731¢0.0¢-$187
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$87.1¢0.0¢-$8
Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?CultureYesResolved$42.1¢0.0¢-$4
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$25223¢0.0¢-$252
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$12621¢0.0¢-$126
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 WinnereSportsCloud9Resolved$11719¢0.0¢-$117
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 WinnereSportsSentinelsResolved$4727¢0.0¢-$47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?EconomyNoResolved$230.4¢0.0¢-$23
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group StageeSportsTeam VitalityResolved$4034¢0.0¢-$40
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue BoilermakersCollege HoopsQueens (NC) RoyalsResolved$161.6¢0.0¢-$16
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on April 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$31.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$1.9K32¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$271.3¢0.0¢-$27
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?PoliticsNoResolved$6531¢0.0¢-$65
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5534¢0.0¢-$55
Will MrBeast's next video get 67 million or more views on day 5?CultureNoResolved$371.8¢0.0¢-$37
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2?CultureYesResolved$158.6¢0.0¢-$15
Will MrBeast's next video get 71 million or more views on day 3?CultureYesResolved$81.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$50.7¢0.0¢-$5
Cavaliers vs. BucksNBACavaliersResolved$326.0¢0.0¢-$32
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye?World CupYesResolved$1320¢0.0¢-$13
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?FinanceDownResolved$6347¢0.0¢-$63
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5NHLOverResolved$23996¢0.0¢-$239
Will MrBeast's next video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 6?CultureYesResolved$2010¢0.0¢-$20
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO1)eSportsShiftersResolved$17449¢0.0¢-$174
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 31?WeatherYesResolved$451.8¢0.0¢-$45
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?CultureYesResolved$1639¢0.0¢-$16
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$73.2¢0.0¢-$7
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10312¢0.0¢-$103
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSportsDeep Cross GamingResolved$3160¢0.0¢-$31
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?CryptoYesResolved$805.9¢0.0¢-$80
Sharks vs. FlamesNHLSharksResolved$6666¢0.0¢-$66
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasoneSportsShiftersResolved$9648¢0.0¢-$96
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5926¢0.0¢-$59
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?PoliticsYesResolved$1984.1¢0.0¢-$198
Will "Still — Live - Jonathan McReynolds & Jamal Roberts" win Best Gospel Performance/Song at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10611¢0.0¢-$106
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$83.9¢0.0¢-$8
Will Florian Wirtz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$271.3¢0.0¢-$27
Will Serge Gnabry be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$271.3¢0.0¢-$27
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)CultureYesResolved$859.4¢0.0¢-$85
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 134.5College HoopsUnderResolved$6060¢0.0¢-$60
Will "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?CultureNoResolved$337.7¢0.0¢-$33
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5776¢0.0¢-$57
Will Tim Payne be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$271.3¢0.0¢-$27
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnereSportsDisguisedResolved$8916¢0.0¢-$89
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$14910¢0.0¢-$149
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$125.5¢0.0¢-$12
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?TechNoResolved$42.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will Donyell Malen be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$271.3¢0.0¢-$27
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$258.3¢0.0¢-$25
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)MentionsYesResolved$4235¢0.0¢-$42
Will MrBeast's next video get between 38 and 42 million views on day 2?CultureYesResolved$73.5¢0.0¢-$7
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3330¢0.0¢-$33
Blackhawks vs. WildNHLBlackhawksResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Will Rafael Leao be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$271.3¢0.0¢-$27
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$271.3¢0.0¢-$27
Will Dion Beljo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$271.3¢0.0¢-$27
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?TechYesResolved$27218¢0.0¢-$272
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$408.0¢0.0¢-$40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4812¢0.0¢-$48
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$33066¢0.0¢-$330
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$31.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$6231¢0.0¢-$62
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?CultureYesResolved$394.1¢0.0¢-$39

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$3.8K
Tech-$2.2K
eSports-$2.1K
MLB+$1.6K
World Cup-$1.4K
Economy+$1.2K
Crypto-$1.2K
Mentions-$899
NHL-$850
Finance-$451
Culture+$242
Tennis-$192
Biggest hit
+$2.7K
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?
Toughest beat
-$764
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?$2015h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?$8819h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will no MrBeast video be posted?$32423h ago
  • Sold No · Will MrBeast say "Apple" during his next YouTube video?$101d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$471d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?$181d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$41d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$121d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?$151d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?$351d ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$191d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Fake News" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$1111d ago