 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $417 | 37¢ | 35¢ | -$30 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $215 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$5 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $167 | 67¢ | 74¢ | +$17 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $153 | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$4 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $93 | 64¢ | 84¢ | +$28 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $39 | 4.7¢ | 14¢ | +$78 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Tech | Yes | $149 | 55¢ | 40¢ | -$41 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $115 | 13¢ | 8.8¢ | -$38 |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $63 | 45¢ | 54¢ | +$12 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Culture | No | $42 | 65¢ | 91¢ | +$17 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $68 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$12 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $26 | 12¢ | 16¢ | +$9 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 6.2¢ | 17¢ | +$15 |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $49 | 14¢ | 6.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 7.2¢ | 22¢ | +$12 |
| Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | Yes | $23 | 16¢ | 9.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 12¢ | 7.8¢ | -$6 |
 Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $9 | 44¢ | 57¢ | +$3 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $18 | 2.6¢ | 1.2¢ | -$9 |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $12 | 11¢ | 4.6¢ | -$7 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $15 | 29¢ | 4.9¢ | -$13 |
 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 36 million views on day 3?Culture | YesResolved | $48 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
 Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnereSports | Karmine CorpResolved | $2 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will MrBeast's video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6?Culture | YesResolved | $15 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?Culture | YesResolved | $18 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 28m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Ducks vs. WildNHL | DucksResolved | $32 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Will Trump's remarks not air?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $40 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | NoResolved | $36 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?Culture | YesResolved | $13 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 69 million views on day 4?Culture | YesResolved | $9 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnereSports | Shopify RebellionResolved | $65 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $17 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnereSports | Team LiquidResolved | $187 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$187 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $252 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$252 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $126 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 WinnereSports | Cloud9Resolved | $117 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$117 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 WinnereSports | SentinelsResolved | $47 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy | NoResolved | $23 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group StageeSports | Team VitalityResolved | $40 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue BoilermakersCollege Hoops | Queens (NC) RoyalsResolved | $16 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 21.5m?Culture | YesResolved | $27 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on April 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $1.9K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
 Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?Politics | NoResolved | $65 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 67 million or more views on day 5?Culture | NoResolved | $37 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
 Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?Culture | NoResolved | $148 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$148 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2?Culture | YesResolved | $15 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 71 million or more views on day 3?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Cavaliers vs. BucksNBA | CavaliersResolved | $32 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye?World Cup | YesResolved | $13 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?Finance | DownResolved | $63 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
| Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5NHL | OverResolved | $239 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$239 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 6?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $44 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
| LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO1)eSports | ShiftersResolved | $174 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$174 |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 31?Weather | YesResolved | $45 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
| 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?Culture | YesResolved | $16 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $103 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$103 |
| LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSports | Deep Cross GamingResolved | $31 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Crypto | YesResolved | $80 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
| Sharks vs. FlamesNHL | SharksResolved | $66 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
| LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasoneSports | ShiftersResolved | $96 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $59 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
| Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Politics | YesResolved | $446 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$446 |
 Will "Still — Live - Jonathan McReynolds & Jamal Roberts" win Best Gospel Performance/Song at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Florian Wirtz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?Culture | YesResolved | $152 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
| Will Serge Gnabry be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)Culture | YesResolved | $85 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
| UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 134.5College Hoops | UnderResolved | $60 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Will "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Culture | NoResolved | $33 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 160m?Culture | YesResolved | $32 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $57 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
| Will Tim Payne be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnereSports | DisguisedResolved | $89 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$89 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $149 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$149 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Sold Yes · Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?$85h ago
Cashed out No · Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?$1302d ago