Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $2.0K | 61¢ | 64¢ | +$80 |
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Politics | No | $444 | 60¢ | 43¢ | -$127 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | Yes | $185 | 55¢ | 65¢ | +$32 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $185 | 37¢ | 38¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Tech | Yes | $162 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$21 |
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Culture | No | $42 | 65¢ | 75¢ | +$7 |
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.8¢ | 12¢ | +$21 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | Yes | $23 | 77¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
| Will Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Politics | Yes | $14 | 7.0¢ | 10¢ | +$6 |
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $9 | 44¢ | 59¢ | +$3 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 10?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.8¢ | 5.9¢ | +$3 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 29¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $15 | 29¢ | 8.5¢ | -$11 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $69 | 24¢ | 0.9¢ | -$67 |
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8?Politics | Yes | $12 | 13¢ | 1.6¢ | -$11 |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 13¢ | 4.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 36 million views on day 3?Culture | YesResolved | $48 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnereSports | Karmine CorpResolved | $2 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will MrBeast's video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6?Culture | YesResolved | $15 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?Culture | YesResolved | $18 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Ducks vs. WildNHL | DucksResolved | $32 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Will Trump's remarks not air?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $40 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 69 million views on day 4?Culture | YesResolved | $9 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnereSports | Shopify RebellionResolved | $65 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $17 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnereSports | Team LiquidResolved | $187 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$187 |
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $252 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$252 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $126 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 WinnereSports | Cloud9Resolved | $117 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$117 |
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 WinnereSports | SentinelsResolved | $47 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy | NoResolved | $23 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group StageeSports | Team VitalityResolved | $40 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue BoilermakersCollege Hoops | Queens (NC) RoyalsResolved | $16 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on April 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $1.9K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?Politics | NoResolved | $65 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Will MrBeast's next video get 67 million or more views on day 5?Culture | NoResolved | $37 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2?Culture | YesResolved | $15 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will MrBeast's next video get 71 million or more views on day 3?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Cavaliers vs. BucksNBA | CavaliersResolved | $32 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye?World Cup | YesResolved | $13 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?Finance | DownResolved | $63 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5NHL | OverResolved | $239 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$239 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 6?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO1)eSports | ShiftersResolved | $174 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$174 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 31?Weather | YesResolved | $45 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?Culture | YesResolved | $16 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $103 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$103 |
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSports | Deep Cross GamingResolved | $31 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Crypto | YesResolved | $80 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Sharks vs. FlamesNHL | SharksResolved | $66 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasoneSports | ShiftersResolved | $96 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $59 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Politics | YesResolved | $198 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$198 |
Will "Still — Live - Jonathan McReynolds & Jamal Roberts" win Best Gospel Performance/Song at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Florian Wirtz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Serge Gnabry be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)Culture | YesResolved | $85 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 134.5College Hoops | UnderResolved | $60 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Culture | NoResolved | $33 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $57 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
Will Tim Payne be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnereSports | DisguisedResolved | $89 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$89 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $149 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$149 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Donyell Malen be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)Mentions | YesResolved | $42 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 38 and 42 million views on day 2?Culture | YesResolved | $7 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
Blackhawks vs. WildNHL | BlackhawksResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Rafael Leao be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Dion Beljo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $272 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$272 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $40 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $48 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup | NoResolved | $330 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$330 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $62 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?Culture | YesResolved | $39 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |