PAULPAUL3

Predicting since Dec 202584 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.2K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$30	8.8¢	0.0¢	-$30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$45	8.5¢	0.0¢	-$45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics	YesResolved	$20	3.2¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$20	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$20
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$35	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$51	7.7¢	0.0¢	-$51
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics	YesResolved	$25	15¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$20	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions	YesResolved	$28	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$28
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Politics	YesResolved	$40	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$40
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$50	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics	NoResolved	$10	4.7¢	0.0¢	-$10
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$77	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$77
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	8.7¢	0.0¢	-$20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Politics	YesResolved	$15	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$6
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$20	15¢	0.0¢	-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$74	3.4¢	0.0¢	-$74
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$57	2.7¢	0.0¢	-$57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$30	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$30
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Politics	YesResolved	$86	11¢	0.0¢	-$86
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics	YesResolved	$63	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$63
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics	YesResolved	$275	24¢	0.0¢	-$275
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$20	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$200	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$20	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.2K

Economy-$364

Finance-$35

Mentions-$28

Biggest hit

+$362

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Toughest beat

-$522

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$71mo ago
Bought Yes · Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$41mo ago
Bought Yes · Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$41mo ago
Bought Yes · Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$121mo ago
Bought Yes · Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$251mo ago
Bought Yes · Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$51mo ago
Bought Yes · Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$201mo ago
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$21mo ago
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$41mo ago
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$51mo ago
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$151mo ago
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$101mo ago