Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $48 | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$61 |
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?Tech | No | $45 | 75¢ | 92¢ | +$10 |
Will Hurricane Polo peak at Category 5?Weather | Yes | $26 | 66¢ | 93¢ | +$11 |
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $39 | 69¢ | 65¢ | -$2 |
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 21 2026?Finance | Yes | $20 | 51¢ | 76¢ | +$10 |
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Culture | No | $25 | 62¢ | 72¢ | +$4 |
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026?Finance | No | $10 | 25¢ | 67¢ | +$17 |
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 45¢ | 73¢ | +$10 |
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Best Cinematography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture | No | $23 | 57¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Politics | Yes | $18 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?Politics | Yes | $15 | 76¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 50k and 60k?Culture | No | $13 | 65¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
Will Karmine Corp make the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?eSports | No | $24 | 49¢ | 38¢ | -$5 |
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture | No | $15 | 73¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?Politics | Yes | $19 | 48¢ | 39¢ | -$4 |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?Finance | No | $9 | 44¢ | 74¢ | +$6 |
Will T1 make the VALORANT Champions 2026 Playoffs?eSports | No | $19 | 49¢ | 36¢ | -$5 |
Will the VALORANT Champions 2026 champion go undefeated on maps in the Playoffs?eSports | Yes | $22 | 55¢ | 36¢ | -$8 |
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 73¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)Politics | Yes | $8 | 38¢ | 70¢ | +$6 |
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Economy | Yes | $23 | 57¢ | 34¢ | -$9 |
Trump approval Up or Down this week?Politics | Down | $9 | 47¢ | 68¢ | +$4 |
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 74¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 21 2026?Finance | No | $10 | 24¢ | 34¢ | +$4 |
Will Charlie Worsham (guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Culture | Yes | $15 | 38¢ | 32¢ | -$2 |
Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Culture | No | $15 | 76¢ | 61¢ | -$3 |
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 60¢ | 61¢ | +$0 |
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 19¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $11 | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $15 | 26¢ | 19¢ | -$4 |
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?NFL | No | $19 | 48¢ | 28¢ | -$8 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?Politics | Yes | $18 | 44¢ | 27¢ | -$7 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?Tech | Yes | $21 | 54¢ | 26¢ | -$11 |
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
Will Ella Langley win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Culture | No | $11 | 55¢ | 50¢ | -$1 |
Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Culture | No | $11 | 55¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $18 | 52¢ | 28¢ | -$9 |
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $10 | 52¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
Will Deadlock win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | Yes | $16 | 29¢ | 16¢ | -$7 |
Will Éloïse Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | No | $10 | 50¢ | 45¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 54¢ | 36¢ | -$5 |
Will "Ain't in LA - ADELA" be the #2 song this week?Culture | Yes | $9 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Best Art Direction at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture | Yes | $7 | 36¢ | 41¢ | +$1 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 21 2026?Finance | Yes | $9 | 44¢ | 41¢ | -$1 |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of September 21 2026?Finance | No | $8 | 38¢ | 39¢ | +$0 |
Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?Tech | Yes | $18 | 45¢ | 19¢ | -$10 |
Will Joshua Van fight Manel Kape next?UFC / MMA | No | $13 | 33¢ | 18¢ | -$6 |
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Tech | No | $8 | 41¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Culture | No | $12 | 62¢ | 33¢ | -$6 |
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026?Finance | Yes | $12 | 62¢ | 33¢ | -$6 |
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 50¢ | 33¢ | -$3 |
Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Culture | No | $8 | 41¢ | 32¢ | -$2 |
Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Culture | No | $25 | 75¢ | 19¢ | -$19 |
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 16¢ | 15¢ | -$0 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 10%-15%?Politics | Yes | $8 | 41¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?Politics | Yes | $12 | 29¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
Will more than 650,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Weather | Yes | $9 | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September?Finance | No | $4 | 18¢ | 27¢ | +$2 |
Will Split be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?eSports | Yes | $24 | 47¢ | 11¢ | -$19 |
Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?Culture | No | $21 | 53¢ | 12¢ | -$16 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 30%-35%?Politics | Yes | $9 | 47¢ | 23¢ | -$5 |
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 21 2026?Finance | Yes | $11 | 27¢ | 11¢ | -$6 |
Will "Ain't in LA - ADELA" be the #2 song this week?Culture | No | $4 | 76¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
Will Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 11)?Culture | Yes | $11 | 21¢ | 8.5¢ | -$6 |
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 35¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 25m?Culture | Yes | $5 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
Will Gears of War: E-Day win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | Yes | $8 | 21¢ | 10¢ | -$4 |
Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 15%-18%?Politics | Yes | $12 | 31¢ | 9.5¢ | -$9 |
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?Culture | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 9.5¢ | -$3 |
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 8.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $6 | 16¢ | 7.8¢ | -$3 |
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 13¢ | 6.0¢ | -$3 |
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?Culture | Yes | $12 | 21¢ | 4.1¢ | -$10 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of September 21 2026?Finance | Yes | $16 | 43¢ | 6.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Hurricane Polo peak at Category 4?Weather | Yes | $9 | 19¢ | 4.5¢ | -$7 |
Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 13, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 7.3¢ | 6.4¢ | -$0 |
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?Tech | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 9.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?Politics | Yes | $5 | 12¢ | 4.2¢ | -$3 |
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?Tech | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 8.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Culture | No | $4 | 59¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?Tech | No | $1 | 51¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
Lakers vs. CavaliersNBA | LakersResolved | $436 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$436 |
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $831 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$831 |
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of September 21 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $4 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |