← Whale Watch

nickthechopper

Predicting since Nov 20252,167 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.3K on Formula 1 markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $4.7K across 5 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$3.1K98¢100¢+$54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsYes$1.4K99¢100¢+$16
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?WeatherNo$56497¢91¢-$33
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?PoliticsNo$25095¢98¢+$7
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$18492¢92¢-$1
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?FinanceNo$14982¢84¢+$3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$13599¢99¢+$1
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$8476¢93¢+$18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$8080¢99¢+$19
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsYes$7391¢97¢+$5
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$7963¢63¢-$0
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$7881¢79¢-$2
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?NBANo$7198¢99¢+$1
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$6088¢85¢-$2
Will Team Yandex Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?eSportsYes$5491¢90¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$5099¢100¢+$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?PoliticsNo$4998¢90¢-$4
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$2252¢69¢+$7
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$2170¢94¢+$7
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$2070¢80¢+$3
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?PoliticsNo$2194¢94¢-$0
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLYes$2358¢51¢-$3
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$2099¢99¢+$0
Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?WeatherYes$1476¢81¢+$1
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$1596¢95¢-$0
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$1114¢18¢+$3
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?NBANo$1096¢100¢+$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$1096¢99¢+$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1097¢97¢+$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$990¢91¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$664¢89¢+$2
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$664¢77¢+$1
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsYes$656¢57¢+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$770¢47¢-$2
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$478¢77¢-$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$362¢62¢-$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$367¢56¢-$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$366¢42¢-$1
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$240¢41¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$129¢42¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Formula 1-$1.3K
Politics-$556
Mentions+$74
Economy+$61
Culture+$41
Weather-$31
Finance-$24
Tech+$21
Soccer (other)+$12
NHL-$7
eSports-$5
NFL-$3
Biggest hit
+$883
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$2.4K
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$1614h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?$416h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?$216h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$316h ago
  • Bought No · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?$1016h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$50017h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$43617h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$117h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$7817h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$13917h ago
  • Sold No · Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?$6417h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$10017h ago