← Whale Watch

thx4playing

Predicting since Nov 20222,723 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.4K on World Cup markets since Nov 2022.

Right now: $829 across 2 World Cup markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.7K on Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$44343¢44¢+$5
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLYes$26348¢51¢+$15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$14014¢25¢+$105
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$21170¢77¢+$20
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$3738.0¢4.1¢-$183
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?CultureNo$7163¢100¢+$42
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$9078¢66¢-$14
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$5666¢76¢+$8
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$1375¢57¢-$3
Will Trump say "Invest" or "Invested" or "Investment" during Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation?MentionsNoResolved$812¢0.0¢-$8
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$9529¢0.0¢-$95
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$3432¢0.0¢-$34
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?PoliticsNoResolved$216.9¢0.0¢-$21
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?PoliticsYesResolved$17057¢0.0¢-$170
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Exact Score: Denmark 2 - 1 Ukraine?Soccer (other)NoResolved$4943¢0.0¢-$49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$758.6¢0.0¢-$75
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAConor McGregorResolved$36428¢0.0¢-$364
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$424.2¢0.0¢-$42
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$6922¢0.0¢-$69
Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?MentionsYesResolved$15480¢0.0¢-$154
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$1475.8¢0.0¢-$147
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?CultureYesResolved$135.7¢0.0¢-$13
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Cabinet meeting?MentionsNoResolved$15533¢0.0¢-$155
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$21042¢0.0¢-$210
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$25050¢0.0¢-$250
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld CupNetherlandsResolved$3449¢0.0¢-$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$15436¢0.0¢-$154
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$1468¢0.0¢-$14
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$39026¢0.0¢-$390
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?World CupNoResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$7936¢0.0¢-$79
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$9223¢0.0¢-$92
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$38865¢0.0¢-$388
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$17550¢0.0¢-$175
Will Jason Kelce be a groomsman at Taylor Swift's wedding?CultureNoResolved$75420¢0.0¢-$754
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5World CupUnderResolved$16135¢0.0¢-$161
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Vance say "War" 7+ times during Air Force Academy Address?MentionsNoResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5265¢0.0¢-$52
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?PoliticsYesResolved$910¢0.0¢-$9
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$112.6¢0.0¢-$11
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?MentionsNoResolved$18072¢0.0¢-$180
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5World CupUnderResolved$22745¢0.0¢-$227
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3430¢0.0¢-$34
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?World CupYesResolved$14014¢0.0¢-$140
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?FinanceUpResolved$635¢0.0¢-$6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$26115¢0.0¢-$261
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?CultureNoResolved$2827¢0.0¢-$28
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during coal announcement?MentionsNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$36513¢0.0¢-$365
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?TechNoResolved$458¢0.0¢-$4
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?TechNoResolved$6432¢0.0¢-$64
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during White House Correspondents Dinner?MentionsYesResolved$9331¢0.0¢-$93
Spread: Germany (-2.5)World CupGermanyResolved$4422¢0.0¢-$44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$35559¢0.0¢-$355
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceWorld CupSouth AfricaResolved$35035¢0.0¢-$350
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$1057¢0.0¢-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$215.3¢0.0¢-$21
Will England win on 2026-06-06?Soccer (other)NoResolved$1715¢0.0¢-$17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$25860¢0.0¢-$258
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$60262¢0.0¢-$602
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$213.1¢0.0¢-$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$20320¢0.0¢-$203
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$20021¢0.0¢-$200
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 26?FinanceDownResolved$440¢0.0¢-$4
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "National Security" during Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation?MentionsNoResolved$14673¢0.0¢-$146
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World CupNoResolved$6630¢0.0¢-$66
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$13164¢0.0¢-$131
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "Democrat" during Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation?MentionsNoResolved$4638¢0.0¢-$46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2727¢0.0¢-$27
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?World CupNoResolved$53053¢0.0¢-$530
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "Oil" during Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation?MentionsNoResolved$5527¢0.0¢-$55
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11056¢0.0¢-$110
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$34443¢0.0¢-$344
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? PoliticsYesResolved$47747¢0.0¢-$477
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupEnglandResolved$53253¢0.0¢-$532
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNoResolved$5133¢0.0¢-$51
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$54054¢0.0¢-$540
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$80032¢0.0¢-$800
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?Soccer (other)NoResolved$912¢0.0¢-$9

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

World Cup-$5.4K
Crypto+$4.5K
Mentions-$2.6K
UFC / MMA-$1.3K
Soccer (other)-$958
Politics-$758
NBA+$661
NHL-$649
Other sports-$588
Basketball (other)+$519
Culture+$390
Champions League+$377
Biggest hit
+$3.7K
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Toughest beat
-$1.2K
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Díaz · La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer$43310h ago
  • MERGE US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1.0K13h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$25013h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$75013h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1313h ago
  • Bought Díaz · La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer$415h ago
  • Bought Díaz · La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer$815h ago
  • Bought Díaz · La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer$815h ago
  • Bought Díaz · La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer$315h ago
  • Bought Díaz · La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer$3215h ago
  • Bought Díaz · La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer$2715h ago
  • Bought Díaz · La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer$33615h ago