 Will SPD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $35 | 61¢ | 94¢ | +$19 |
 Will DeMar DeRozan play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27?NBA | No | $35 | 31¢ | 48¢ | +$20 |
 Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | No | $41 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
| Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | No | $34 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will StepFun be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $36 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 51¢ | 90¢ | +$15 |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $31 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $31 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Will DeMar DeRozan play for another team in 2026-27?NBA | No | $20 | 50¢ | 82¢ | +$13 |
 Will Poolside have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $28 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?Tech | No | $26 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
| Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $25 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $24 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Tencent be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $19 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Tech | No | $13 | 64¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
 Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Browns win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 19¢ | +$8 |
 Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 50¢ | 88¢ | +$8 |
| Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 52¢ | 87¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Raiders win the season series against the Chiefs during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 17¢ | +$6 |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Poolside be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will FURIA Qualify for Worlds 2026?eSports | No | $10 | 50¢ | 78¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 10%-15%?Politics | No | $13 | 66¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
 Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 50¢ | 67¢ | +$3 |
 Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 51¢ | 64¢ | +$3 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $11 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will MiniMax have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $11 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $11 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $11 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $11 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $11 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Politics | Yes | $41 | 87¢ | 22¢ | -$31 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | No | $9 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | No | $9 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?Culture | No | $7 | 73¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.1¢ | 13¢ | +$8 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.1¢ | 14¢ | +$6 |
 Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Bundesliga | No | $10 | 50¢ | 30¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Cardinals win the season series against the 49ers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 5.1¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $1.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.3¢ | 10¢ | +$4 |
| Will Meituan be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?Culture | No | $4 | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Amazon have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?eSports | No | $10 | 50¢ | 26¢ | -$5 |
| Will Shotzzy Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?eSports | No | $5 | 99¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 1.2¢ | 31¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Dolphins win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 4.3¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Cardinals win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 4.2¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.0¢ | 6.0¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 11¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Cardinals win the season series against the Seahawks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 3.4¢ | -$8 |
 Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $1 | 6.0¢ | 25¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 4.0¢ | 12¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 60¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ty Gibbs win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?Other sports | Yes | $0 | 1.0¢ | 4.9¢ | +$2 |
| Will Chase Briscoe win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?Other sports | Yes | $1 | 2.0¢ | 3.9¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Raiders win the season series against the Broncos during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $6 | 11¢ | 3.6¢ | -$4 |
 Will Apple’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 52¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will "Beef" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $3 | 3.0¢ | 1.6¢ | -$1 |
| Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $0 | 15¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
| Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $0 | 3.0¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
 Will Tangyuan Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?eSports | NoResolved | $15 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will G Rick be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Lynn Vision Gaming make playoffs?eSports | YesResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will donk be the EWC CS2 2026 MVP?eSports | NoResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will The Odyssey have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?Politics | NoResolved | $26 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will Monday be the most viewed day of The Five for the week of August 10 - August 16?Culture | NoResolved | $15 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Roamer get a pentakill in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?eSports | NoResolved | $15 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 5?Culture | NoResolved | $21 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will HULIGANI have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?eSports | NoResolved | $17 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?eSports | NoResolved | $10 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Yolanda Cooper-Sutton be the TN-05 Democratic nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will GALA Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?eSports | NoResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Team Vitality make playoffs?eSports | NoResolved | $5 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Wei Yi Qualify for the EWC Chess main event?eSports | NoResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Care Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?eSports | NoResolved | $11 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of July 18?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Wildcard make playoffs?eSports | YesResolved | $7 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Alexander Grischuk Qualify for the EWC Chess main event?eSports | NoResolved | $11 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $4 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will FURIA Qualify for the CBLOL Split 2 PlayoffseSports | NoResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Rachel Hurley be the TN-05 Democratic nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 15%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Cashed out No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?$101d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?$04d ago
Cashed out No · Will 200 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?$04d ago