 Will SPD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $35 | 61¢ | 97¢ | +$21 |
 Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $36 | 65¢ | 97¢ | +$18 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 10% and 20%?Politics | No | $26 | 65¢ | 98¢ | +$13 |
 Will Mistral be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 51¢ | 87¢ | +$14 |
| Will Mistral be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $31 | 94¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
 Will Poolside have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $28 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 30%?Politics | No | $22 | 65¢ | 84¢ | +$7 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?Tech | No | $26 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?Politics | No | $18 | 65¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
 Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $25 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in July?Weather | No | $16 | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
 Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Tencent have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $24 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will StepFun have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $24 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $23 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will Troy Rasband earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Politics | No | $14 | 62¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?Culture | No | $20 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Thinky have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $19 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Tencent be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $19 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Politics | Yes | $41 | 87¢ | 43¢ | -$21 |
 Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $19 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jeanette Cass be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $18 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.1¢ | 28¢ | +$17 |
| Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $24 | 94¢ | 71¢ | -$6 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 10%?Politics | No | $12 | 65¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
| Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 94¢ | 83¢ | -$2 |
 Will Lorena Thorne Bruner be the VA-08 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $14 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.1¢ | 31¢ | +$14 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 94¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $12 | 65¢ | 76¢ | +$2 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $12 | 54¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Browns win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
| Will StepFun be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 91¢ | 61¢ | -$5 |
| Will “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?Culture | No | $7 | 73¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?Politics | No | $26 | 65¢ | 22¢ | -$17 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $26 | 65¢ | 21¢ | -$18 |
 Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 71¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
| Will 260 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | No | $4 | 50¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Raiders win the season series against the Chiefs during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 6.3¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Raiders win the season series against the Broncos during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $6 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Cardinals win the season series against the 49ers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will Ed Sheeran have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Culture | No | $5 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?Culture | No | $4 | 82¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Fred Wellman be the MO-02 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $3 | 60¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Cardinals win the season series against the Seahawks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 4.2¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.0¢ | 6.3¢ | +$3 |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Dolphins win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 3.5¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Cardinals win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 3.4¢ | -$8 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $6 | 3.0¢ | 1.6¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 1.2¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 60¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 4.0¢ | 8.7¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 7.0¢ | +$2 |
| Will Chase Briscoe win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?Other sports | Yes | $1 | 2.0¢ | 3.0¢ | +$1 |
| Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $0 | 5.0¢ | 39¢ | +$1 |
| Will Ty Gibbs win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?Other sports | Yes | $0 | 1.0¢ | 3.1¢ | +$1 |
| Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?Finance | No | $4 | 56¢ | 15¢ | -$3 |
| Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $0 | 3.0¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of July 18?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
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