← Whale Watch

2017

Predicting since Apr 2025504 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $14K on Politics markets since Apr 2025.

Right now: $5.0K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$5.4K on Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2.5K50¢98¢+$2.4K
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$93620¢34¢+$678
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1.6K19¢13¢-$538
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$7217.0¢6.5¢-$51
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?PoliticsNo$57489¢92¢+$19
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoYes$62951¢46¢-$67
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$44677¢81¢+$25
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$46034¢33¢-$24
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$39622¢24¢+$28
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsYes$1.7K42¢9.5¢-$1.3K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$45024¢17¢-$122
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1986.4¢9.8¢+$104
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$21726¢24¢-$21
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1533.2¢3.5¢+$12
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$2325.8¢4.0¢-$74
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$7920¢35¢+$61
Will $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027?CryptoNo$10254¢72¢+$32
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?PoliticsYes$9823¢20¢-$13
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.5K50¢1.7¢-$2.4K
GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?CryptoNo$7056¢48¢-$11
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$484.2¢5.1¢+$10
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$3321¢33¢+$18
GRVT FDV above $450M one day after launch?CryptoNo$4568¢55¢-$9
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNo$1017¢49¢+$19
GRVT FDV above $600M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1885¢86¢+$0
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$204.0¢3.4¢-$3
GRVT FDV above $550M one day after launch?CryptoNo$2078¢53¢-$6
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1460¢56¢-$1
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$19713¢0.4¢-$191
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$3308.2¢0.1¢-$328
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$2012¢1.1¢-$18
Will John Stevens win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$20.1¢0.1¢-$0
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$17525¢0.0¢-$175
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$65357¢0.0¢-$653
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?World CupNoResolved$808.0¢0.0¢-$80
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$292.9¢0.0¢-$29
Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$20647¢0.0¢-$206
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$8241¢0.0¢-$82
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?World CupNoResolved$1504.5¢0.0¢-$150
Credible FDV above $5M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$887.9¢0.0¢-$88

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$14K
Crypto+$5.9K
Tech-$1.5K
World Cup+$1.0K
eSports+$820
Mentions-$568
Finance-$548
Other sports+$486
Boxing+$452
UFC / MMA+$442
NBA+$147
NFL-$146
Biggest hit
+$5.4K
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Toughest beat
-$11K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$14332m ago
  • Sold Yes · Trump out as President before 2027?$3633h ago
  • Sold Yes · Trump out as President before 2027?$3574h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$32719h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$419h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$119h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$1019h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$3619h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$16319h ago
  • Bought No · GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?$26019h ago
  • Sold No · Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$25819h ago
  • Sold No · Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?$31519h ago