← Whale Watch

Simon4s

Predicting since Sep 20247,933 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.3K on Mentions markets since Sep 2024.

Right now: $60K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$30K50¢80¢+$18K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$30K50¢20¢-$18K
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$46488¢95¢+$36
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?TechNo$17041¢89¢+$194
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$17938¢78¢+$184
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$459.5¢72¢+$294
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?TechNo$32371¢71¢-$2
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?PoliticsYes$14646¢85¢+$123
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$21491¢93¢+$4
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$15768¢79¢+$23
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $7.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?TechNo$9231¢58¢+$76
Canada's population Up or Down this year?PoliticsDown$15776¢81¢+$9
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$15987¢88¢+$2
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BoxingMayweather$16254¢53¢-$3
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$16390¢87¢-$5
Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?UFC / MMANo$15692¢88¢-$7
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?TechNo$12080¢93¢+$20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 29, 2026?PoliticsYes$14189¢87¢-$4
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$5519¢47¢+$81
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsNo$12794¢98¢+$5
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?UFC / MMAYes$6243¢80¢+$53
Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Haley Stevens in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?PoliticsYes$17742¢27¢-$63
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$11287¢88¢+$1
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?TechNo$10869¢72¢+$4
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$100100¢100¢-$0
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BoxingPacquiao$7839¢47¢+$16
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?WeatherNo$9292¢91¢-$1
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$6926¢34¢+$20
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$7151¢51¢-$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026?PoliticsYes$8686¢68¢-$19
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$6684¢85¢+$1
Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?PoliticsYes$9629¢19¢-$32
Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?Other sportsYes$7785¢70¢-$14
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?TechNo$5779¢84¢+$4
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 27, 2026?PoliticsYes$6289¢87¢-$1
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$9648¢30¢-$36
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$10653¢27¢-$52
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$205.0¢14¢+$34
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$5151¢50¢-$1
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$8818¢10¢-$38
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsYes$3939¢48¢+$9
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$4590¢96¢+$3
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$3268¢95¢+$13
Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?Other sportsYes$4379¢77¢-$1
Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?UFC / MMANo$3691¢97¢+$2
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsNo$3896¢92¢-$1
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$4358¢49¢-$7
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?TechNo$3485¢89¢+$2
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?TechNo$3588¢85¢-$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$4336¢27¢-$11
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?UFC / MMAYes$85.3¢21¢+$23
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$1428¢61¢+$16
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$3022¢22¢-$1
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?UFC / MMAYes$2258¢73¢+$6
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$578.7¢3.9¢-$32
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$3311¢8.7¢-$8
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$3293¢73¢-$7
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$6231¢12¢-$38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2610¢8.5¢-$5
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsYes$3925¢14¢-$18
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$65.7¢19¢+$14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$2347¢41¢-$3
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?PoliticsYes$3015¢10¢-$10
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $8.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?TechNo$2066¢67¢+$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$43.3¢14¢+$14
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?TechYes$1860¢62¢+$0
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?FinanceNo$1786¢90¢+$1
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$1938¢34¢-$2
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$8421¢4.0¢-$68
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$5025¢7.5¢-$35
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?FinanceYes$526¢68¢+$8
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$6945¢8.5¢-$56
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsYes$4343¢13¢-$30
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$25.9¢31¢+$10
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?TechNo$1784¢64¢-$4
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?PoliticsYes$10890¢10¢-$95
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$1110¢11¢+$0
Over $180B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?Other sportsYes$1368¢60¢-$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$3417¢5.5¢-$23
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$65.4¢9.3¢+$4
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?TechYes$1919¢11¢-$9
Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$150.6¢0.4¢-$4
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$75.1¢8.0¢+$4
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7B by December 31?FinanceNo$1470¢50¢-$4
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?PoliticsYes$1622¢14¢-$6
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$242.8¢1.1¢-$14
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$44.2¢8.4¢+$4
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.75 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?TechYes$671¢95¢+$2
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$2310¢3.5¢-$15
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$46.4¢12¢+$3
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$278.3¢2.2¢-$20
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$766¢66¢+$0
Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?PoliticsYes$420¢34¢+$3
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$34.9¢12¢+$4
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$5151¢6.5¢-$45
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$3113¢2.7¢-$24
Over $200B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?Other sportsYes$435¢49¢+$2
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?PoliticsYes$66.0¢6.0¢+$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsYes$3131¢6.0¢-$25
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$391.6¢0.3¢-$33

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Mentions+$3.3K
Tech+$3.2K
Politics+$2.4K
Culture+$2.3K
Weather+$2.2K
Economy+$1.1K
Crypto+$1.1K
NFL+$884
Finance+$428
MLB+$384
UFC / MMA+$374
Other sports+$349
Biggest hit
+$1.6K
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?
Toughest beat
-$1.5K
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$7139m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?$21h ago
  • Sold No · Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$52h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?$54h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?$64h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 29, 2026?$135h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?$25h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026?$186h ago
  • Sold No · Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?$156h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026?$97h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?$27h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026?$18h ago