← Whale Watch

0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190

Predicting since Jun 20261,736 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran coup attempt by December 31?PoliticsNo$5591¢88¢-$2
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$5287¢80¢-$5
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$4786¢84¢-$1
Perena FDV above $400M one day after launch?CryptoNo$3589¢87¢-$1
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$3485¢83¢-$1
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$3588¢71¢-$7
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?PoliticsNo$3281¢71¢-$4
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?PoliticsNo$3193¢79¢-$5
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$2673¢68¢-$2
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2286¢85¢-$0
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?CryptoNo$2287¢85¢-$1
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$2262¢55¢-$2
Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1890¢90¢+$0
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?PoliticsNo$1786¢89¢+$1
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1889¢89¢-$0
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Soccer (other)No$1888¢88¢+$0
ECB rate cut in 2026?EconomyNo$1888¢88¢-$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?PoliticsNo$1786¢86¢+$0
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?EconomyNo$1786¢86¢-$0
Will Squid launch a token by March 31, 2027?CryptoYes$1785¢85¢+$0
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1787¢85¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?PoliticsNo$1787¢85¢-$1
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?PoliticsNo$1682¢83¢+$0
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 40k and 50k?CultureNo$1888¢83¢-$1
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1785¢81¢-$1
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?PoliticsNo$1678¢81¢+$1
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1679¢79¢-$0
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$1573¢78¢+$1
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?TechNo$1783¢77¢-$1
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$1787¢76¢-$2
António Guterres out by December 31?PoliticsNo$1575¢76¢+$0
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsNo$1783¢76¢-$1
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?EconomyNo$1786¢76¢-$2
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$1588¢88¢-$0
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?CultureNo$1573¢72¢-$0
Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?PoliticsNo$1786¢69¢-$3
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?EconomyNo$1575¢69¢-$1
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?CultureNo$1469¢69¢-$0
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?TechNo$1471¢68¢-$1
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?PoliticsNo$1367¢67¢-$0
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$1471¢67¢-$1
StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1471¢66¢-$1
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$1259¢66¢+$1
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?CultureNo$1490¢87¢-$0
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$1469¢65¢-$1
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sportsNo$1381¢80¢-$0
Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien?Soccer (other)No$1261¢65¢+$1
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$1364¢65¢+$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?EconomyNo$1678¢64¢-$3
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?FinanceNo$1471¢64¢-$2
Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$1363¢64¢+$0
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?EconomyNo$2236¢21¢-$10
Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$1473¢63¢-$2
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?PoliticsNo$1258¢59¢+$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $7.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?TechNo$1261¢57¢-$1
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?TechNo$1292¢92¢-$0
Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1185¢86¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1640¢28¢-$5
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?TechNo$1471¢55¢-$3
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$947¢53¢+$1
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$1576¢53¢-$5
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?OtherNo$421¢52¢+$6
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1153¢52¢-$0
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?PoliticsNo$1051¢50¢-$0
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1081¢81¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?PoliticsYes$1162¢55¢-$1
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?PoliticsYes$1648¢27¢-$7
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?TechNo$988¢90¢+$0
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$945¢45¢-$0
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$990¢89¢-$0
Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$990¢88¢-$0
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$990¢88¢-$0
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$988¢87¢-$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1051¢43¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?PoliticsNo$986¢87¢+$0
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?FinanceNo$990¢87¢-$0
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsNo$989¢86¢-$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?PoliticsNo$990¢86¢-$0
Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026?CryptoNo$884¢86¢+$0
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?CultureNo$1052¢43¢-$2
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?TechNo$987¢86¢-$0
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?PoliticsNo$883¢85¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$985¢84¢-$0
Will Eric J. Tatum win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?PoliticsNo$988¢84¢-$0
Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$989¢84¢-$1
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsNo$987¢84¢-$0
Will Scott Black win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?PoliticsNo$985¢83¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$988¢83¢-$1
Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoNo$987¢83¢-$0
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$884¢83¢-$0
Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch?CryptoNo$988¢82¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$949¢43¢-$1
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?FinanceNo$884¢81¢-$0
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?PoliticsNo$986¢81¢-$1
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$988¢81¢-$1
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?PoliticsNo$879¢80¢+$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?PoliticsNo$989¢80¢-$1
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$882¢80¢-$0
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?EconomyNo$987¢79¢-$1
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$987¢79¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$178
Tech-$138
Other sports-$39
Culture-$39
Crypto-$35
Economy-$28
NFL-$22
eSports+$15
NBA-$13
Weather+$11
Premier League+$9
Finance-$8
Biggest hit
+$17
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
Toughest beat
-$44
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?$1759m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company?$171h ago
  • Sold No · Will G2 Esports Win LEC Summer Split 2026?$61h ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?$91h ago
  • Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$83h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?$143h ago
  • Bought No · Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?$15h ago
  • Sold No · Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?$66h ago
  • Sold No · Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?$66h ago
  • Sold No · Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?$56h ago
  • Sold No · Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$66h ago
  • Sold No · Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?$07h ago