CalculatedRisk08

Predicting since Jan 2026481 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $13K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Biggest hit: +$2.8K on Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$150	29¢	25¢	-$23
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Economy	Yes	$53	27¢	62¢	+$68
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Weather	YesResolved	$158	12¢	0.0¢	-$158
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Weather	YesResolved	$0	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 15, 8PM ET?Crypto	NoResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Sheffield United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other)	YesResolved	$9	22¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$331	27¢	0.0¢	-$331
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsWorld Cup	YesResolved	$279	30¢	0.0¢	-$279
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$4	8.2¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on June 15?Crypto	YesResolved	$47	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$47
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$28	21¢	0.0¢	-$28
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 15?Crypto	YesResolved	$15	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$15
Albirex Niigata vs. Montedio Yamagata: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other)	YesResolved	$9	44¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?Culture	YesResolved	$50	50¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 15?Crypto	YesResolved	$16	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$16
Ethereum above 1,760 on June 15, 8PM ET?Crypto	NoResolved	$0	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Trump post "Soccer" on Truth Social this week?Mentions	YesResolved	$31	26¢	0.0¢	-$31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 4?Crypto	YesResolved	$33	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$33
Federico Valverde: 1+ goalsWorld Cup	YesResolved	$176	25¢	0.0¢	-$176
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$8	9.6¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$30	13¢	0.0¢	-$30
Vila Nova FC leading at halftime?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$17	17¢	0.0¢	-$17
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$50	22¢	0.0¢	-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16?Crypto	UpResolved	$392	20¢	0.0¢	-$392
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 4?Crypto	YesResolved	$93	10¢	0.0¢	-$93
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 4?Crypto	YesResolved	$55	11¢	0.0¢	-$55
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$31	8.5¢	0.0¢	-$31
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	15¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 6?Crypto	YesResolved	$103	4.1¢	0.0¢	-$103

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$13K

Tech+$905

Crypto-$813

La Liga-$554

Soccer (other)-$345

MLS-$147

Other-$142

Mentions-$127

Weather-$95

Economy+$72

Culture-$63

Finance+$46

Biggest hit

+$2.8K

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$1.0K

Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?$2315h ago
Sold Yes · US bank failure by December 31, 2026?$2415h ago
Sold Over · VfL Osnabrück vs. Hertha BSC: VfL Osnabrück O/U 0.5$101d ago
Sold Over · VfL Osnabrück vs. Hertha BSC: VfL Osnabrück O/U 0.5$2101d ago
Bought Over · VfL Osnabrück vs. Hertha BSC: VfL Osnabrück O/U 0.5$421d ago
Bought Over · VfL Osnabrück vs. Hertha BSC: VfL Osnabrück O/U 0.5$361d ago
Bought Over · VfL Osnabrück vs. Hertha BSC: VfL Osnabrück O/U 0.5$171d ago
Bought Over · VfL Osnabrück vs. Hertha BSC: VfL Osnabrück O/U 0.5$211d ago
Bought Yes · Sheffield United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score$41d ago
Bought Yes · Sheffield United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score$41d ago
Bought Yes · Albirex Niigata vs. Montedio Yamagata: Both Teams to Score$91d ago
Sold Yes · Israel military action against Lebanon on September 13?$141d ago