CalculatedRisk08

Predicting since Jan 2026458 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $13K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Biggest hit: +$2.8K on Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Weather	YesResolved	$158	12¢	0.0¢	-$158
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Weather	YesResolved	$0	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 15, 8PM ET?Crypto	NoResolved	$0	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$331	27¢	0.0¢	-$331
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsWorld Cup	YesResolved	$279	30¢	0.0¢	-$279
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$4	8.2¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on June 15?Crypto	YesResolved	$47	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$47
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 15?Crypto	YesResolved	$15	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 15?Crypto	YesResolved	$16	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$16
Ethereum above 1,760 on June 15, 8PM ET?Crypto	NoResolved	$0	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Trump post "Soccer" on Truth Social this week?Mentions	YesResolved	$31	26¢	0.0¢	-$31
Federico Valverde: 1+ goalsWorld Cup	YesResolved	$176	25¢	0.0¢	-$176
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$50	22¢	0.0¢	-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16?Crypto	UpResolved	$392	20¢	0.0¢	-$392
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	15¢	0.0¢	-$1

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$13K

Tech+$905

Soccer (other)-$757

La Liga-$554

Crypto-$529

MLS-$147

Other-$142

Mentions-$127

Weather-$95

Finance+$46

Culture-$22

Bundesliga+$22

Biggest hit

+$2.8K

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$1.0K

Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?

Bought Yes · Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48d ago
Sold No · Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1.2K22d ago
Sold No · Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$73422d ago
Sold No · Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$7922d ago
Sold No · Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1522d ago
Sold No · Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$122d ago
Bought No · Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$4823d ago
Bought No · Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$823d ago
Sold Yes · Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assists$1123d ago
Bought Yes · Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assists$523d ago
Bought Yes · Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assists$1523d ago
Sold Yes · Lionel Messi: 1+ goals$1123d ago