← Whale Watch

Phenium

Predicting since Oct 2024546 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.4K on NFL markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $2.7K riding on Spain vs. Argentina - First Team to Score.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Will England win on 2026-07-18?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$14070¢88¢+$36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$13121¢20¢-$9
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?TechNo$9782¢80¢-$2
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7878¢85¢+$6
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$8137¢33¢-$9
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?TechYes$2534¢76¢+$31
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$3732¢34¢+$2
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechNo$2041¢54¢+$6
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?PoliticsYes$1022¢20¢-$1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3913¢0.6¢-$37
Chiefs vs. BroncosNFLChiefsResolved$1.8K59¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$48.0¢0.0¢-$4
Solana above $150 on June 13?CryptoYesResolved$1.3K26¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? PoliticsNoResolved$1090.6¢0.0¢-$109
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$22144¢0.0¢-$221
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$20097¢0.0¢-$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$23324¢0.0¢-$233
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1414¢0.0¢-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3654¢0.0¢-$36
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$206.7¢0.0¢-$20
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?BoxingYesResolved$143.4¢0.0¢-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1313¢0.0¢-$13
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$232.2¢0.0¢-$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$20978¢0.0¢-$209
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? PoliticsNoResolved$110.5¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$17243¢0.0¢-$172
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$46252¢0.0¢-$462
Chiefs vs. TitansNFLChiefsResolved$816¢0.0¢-$8
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$4815¢0.0¢-$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$65447¢0.0¢-$654
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$60.9¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11AM ETCryptoUpResolved$538¢0.0¢-$5
Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$9616¢0.0¢-$96
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?PoliticsYesResolved$1341.1¢0.0¢-$134
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$32754¢0.0¢-$327
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$50226¢0.0¢-$502
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5533¢0.0¢-$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$58545¢0.0¢-$585
OpenAI browser by October 24?TechNoResolved$157.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3633¢0.0¢-$36
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 29?CryptoDownResolved$136.0¢0.0¢-$13
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$51.6¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3051¢0.0¢-$30
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5614¢0.0¢-$56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$513¢0.0¢-$5
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World CupYesResolved$42032¢0.0¢-$420
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$7558¢0.0¢-$75
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?PoliticsYesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$43415¢0.0¢-$434
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$729.0¢0.0¢-$72
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?TechNoResolved$7525¢0.0¢-$75
Chiefs vs. CowboysNFLChiefsResolved$1.5K64¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$9847¢0.0¢-$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$91041¢0.0¢-$910
Will John Fetterman attend the 2026 State of the Union address?PoliticsNoResolved$331.1¢0.0¢-$33
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$29637¢0.0¢-$296
Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7111¢0.0¢-$71
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2055¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$77778¢0.0¢-$777
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?PoliticsYesResolved$100.8¢0.0¢-$10
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?BoxingYesResolved$458.7¢0.0¢-$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$6331¢0.0¢-$63
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?CryptoYesResolved$23177¢0.0¢-$231
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?PoliticsYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?PoliticsYesResolved$21620¢0.0¢-$216
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$34631¢0.0¢-$346
Will Iran declare war on Israel before July?PoliticsYesResolved$536.5¢0.0¢-$53
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?PoliticsYesResolved$5938¢0.0¢-$59
Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?PoliticsYesResolved$271.2¢0.0¢-$27
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?CryptoUpResolved$10534¢0.0¢-$105
Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?MentionsYesResolved$3216¢0.0¢-$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$32944¢0.0¢-$329
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$21126¢0.0¢-$211
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$49225¢0.0¢-$492
Will India invade Pakistan before July?PoliticsYesResolved$18511¢0.0¢-$185
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$25020¢0.0¢-$250
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETCryptoDownResolved$10151¢0.0¢-$101
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$30626¢0.0¢-$306
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?FinanceNoResolved$17826¢0.0¢-$178
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$513¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?MentionsYesResolved$155.0¢0.0¢-$15
Lions vs. BearsNFLBearsResolved$5841¢0.0¢-$58
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?PoliticsYesResolved$88939¢0.0¢-$889
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1321¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$14028¢0.0¢-$140
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2722¢0.0¢-$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$3032¢0.0¢-$30
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?PoliticsYesResolved$53.0¢0.0¢-$5
Broncos vs. ChiefsNFLChiefsResolved$7212¢0.0¢-$72
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4210¢0.0¢-$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$41.0¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$32.9¢0.0¢-$3
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?PoliticsYesResolved$279.0¢0.0¢-$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$12932¢0.0¢-$129
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2626¢0.0¢-$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$6432¢0.0¢-$64
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$35650¢0.0¢-$356
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$243.2¢0.0¢-$24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$41049¢0.0¢-$410

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

NFL-$5.4K
Crypto-$4.5K
Politics-$3.2K
World Cup-$2.7K
Other sports-$914
Mentions+$317
Finance-$300
Tech-$217
Boxing-$161
College Hoops-$128
Culture-$64
Weather-$12
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Toughest beat
-$2.1K
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?$82d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?$162d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?$252d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?$262d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$582d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$212d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?$02d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$522d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$522d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?$252d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?$1152d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?$42d ago