← Whale Watch

smarttradder

Predicting since Jan 20252,888 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.8K on NBA markets since Jan 2025.

Biggest hit: +$1.5K on Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$17185¢83¢-$5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$16482¢79¢-$6
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$19598¢78¢-$39
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$15176¢75¢-$2
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSNo$11987¢85¢-$3
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$12261¢56¢-$9
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title?MLBNo$9797¢94¢-$4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$13969¢47¢-$46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9191¢92¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9393¢92¢-$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$11052¢42¢-$22
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSNo$9090¢87¢-$4
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$8787¢87¢-$0
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLBNo$9191¢85¢-$7
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$8484¢85¢+$1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsNo$10847¢34¢-$31
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsYes$7070¢75¢+$5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$8282¢71¢-$12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$6070¢74¢+$3
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$5959¢60¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$9898¢58¢-$40
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$8484¢57¢-$28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$6666¢56¢-$10
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$5693¢92¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5656¢55¢-$2
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$8080¢53¢-$28
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$4343¢44¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?PoliticsYes$3483¢84¢+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3131¢30¢-$2
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?eSportsYes$3030¢27¢-$4
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$2828¢26¢-$3
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSNo$2592¢91¢-$0
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$2423¢23¢-$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyNo$2428¢26¢-$2
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$3030¢22¢-$8
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsYes$2814¢11¢-$6
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$2626¢22¢-$5
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$2525¢21¢-$4
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLBYes$2333¢27¢-$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$1515¢16¢+$1
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$1818¢14¢-$3
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?PoliticsNo$1414¢13¢-$1
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$1230¢30¢+$0
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLBYes$1616¢12¢-$4
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueYes$1212¢12¢-$1
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueYes$1111¢12¢+$1
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$1214¢13¢-$1
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$1212¢11¢-$1
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)Yes$1010¢11¢+$1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsNo$1010¢9.5¢-$1
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$139.6¢6.9¢-$4
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$84.0¢4.5¢+$1
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)Yes$99.0¢9.0¢+$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$891¢92¢+$0
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLBYes$67.0¢8.5¢+$1
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$713¢13¢-$0
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$66.0¢6.5¢+$0
Iran leadership change by August 31?PoliticsYes$77.0¢5.5¢-$2
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$523¢24¢+$0
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$596¢97¢+$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$54.8¢2.3¢-$3
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$10.3¢0.5¢+$1
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLBYes$55.0¢1.5¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

NBA-$5.8K
Crypto-$1.1K
Other sports-$84
Politics-$75
Culture+$64
World Cup+$54
Economy-$42
Soccer (other)-$36
Tech+$31
MLS+$31
Formula 1+$28
Premier League+$26
Biggest hit
+$1.5K
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Toughest beat
-$3.5K
Bucks vs. Lakers

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$634m ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$74m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$518m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$111h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$101h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$101h ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$151h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$32h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?$12h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$22h ago
  • Sold No · Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$602h ago
  • Bought No · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$243h ago