← Whale Watch

autisem

Predicting since Oct 2024942 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $5.9K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $1.2K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$6.1K on US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsNo$66035¢69¢+$624
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$93292¢99¢+$73
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$70495¢100¢+$33
Kash Patel out by July 31?PoliticsNo$56092¢99¢+$39
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?PoliticsNo$38868¢64¢-$28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$36737¢34¢-$32
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$27189¢96¢+$22
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19876¢90¢+$35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$11356¢56¢+$0
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$10098¢99¢+$2
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$10015¢14¢-$3
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$13059¢40¢-$43
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?PoliticsYes$9183¢78¢-$6
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$6161¢73¢+$12
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?PoliticsNo$7171¢68¢-$3
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$5056¢65¢+$8
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3984¢99¢+$7
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$3211¢15¢+$13
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$5081¢73¢-$5
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?PoliticsNo$5060¢53¢-$6
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$2447¢87¢+$20
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3689¢95¢+$2
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?PoliticsYes$3468¢71¢+$1
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?EconomyYes$3496¢92¢-$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1546¢69¢+$8
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?PoliticsYes$1835¢33¢-$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$53.4¢8.3¢+$7
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1096¢90¢-$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$585¢95¢+$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1367¢28¢-$7
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$241¢39¢-$0
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$505.4¢0.0¢-$50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$211.0¢0.0¢-$21
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$201.0¢0.0¢-$20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$355¢0.0¢-$3
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$703.6¢0.0¢-$70
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$300.9¢0.0¢-$30
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$54.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?PoliticsYesResolved$249.0¢0.0¢-$24
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$622.6¢0.0¢-$62
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$158.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?PoliticsNoResolved$5720¢0.0¢-$57
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsNoResolved$18514¢0.0¢-$185
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Brad Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?PoliticsYesResolved$14.3¢0.0¢-$1
Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$618.5¢0.0¢-$61
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$102.5¢0.0¢-$10
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4121¢0.0¢-$41
Iran leadership change by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$307.0¢0.0¢-$30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 110,000 and 120,000 voters?PoliticsYesResolved$3015¢0.0¢-$30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1828¢0.0¢-$18
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$59761¢0.0¢-$597
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$1928¢0.0¢-$19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$211.4¢0.0¢-$21
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$87.8¢0.0¢-$8
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?PoliticsYesResolved$22.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?PoliticsYesResolved$35.0¢0.0¢-$3
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?PoliticsYesResolved$2416¢0.0¢-$24
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1414¢0.0¢-$14
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$2928¢0.0¢-$29
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$2027¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2814¢0.0¢-$28
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$19232¢0.0¢-$192
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$61.3¢0.0¢-$6
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?PoliticsYesResolved$710¢0.0¢-$7
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?PoliticsNoResolved$8040¢0.0¢-$80
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$5070¢0.0¢-$50
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$68.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?PoliticsNoResolved$104.5¢0.0¢-$10
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$33024¢0.0¢-$330
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1509.0¢0.0¢-$150
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$20.5¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$656¢0.0¢-$6
Major US official out by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$3851¢0.0¢-$38
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$204.0¢0.0¢-$20
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?PoliticsYesResolved$52.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1225¢0.0¢-$12
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?PoliticsYesResolved$38238¢0.0¢-$382
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1725¢0.0¢-$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2061¢0.0¢-$20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1070¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in July 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$104.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$113.5¢0.0¢-$11
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$41973¢0.0¢-$419

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$5.9K
Mentions-$428
Culture+$243
NHL-$87
NFL+$86
World Cup-$20
Crypto-$20
Economy-$10
Tech+$1
Biggest hit
+$6.1K
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$2.6K
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1061h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$711h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$61h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?$343h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$103h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026?$33h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$43h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?$3033h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$2733h ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel military action against Yemen by July 21?$1676h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$331d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$911d ago