← Whale Watch

ProbablyPomPom

Predicting since Dec 20256,844 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.6K on Crypto markets since Dec 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$997¢100¢+$0
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?PoliticsYes$5100¢99¢-$0
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$218¢25¢+$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1AM ETCryptoUpResolved$12.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will NYC have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in January?WeatherYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1391¢0.0¢-$13
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 4PM ETCryptoDownResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-21?Soccer (other)NoResolved$1982¢0.0¢-$19
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $156-$158 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?FinanceYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Iran strike on US military by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?TechYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 7AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2185¢0.0¢-$21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Odds of Khamenei out by February over 50% in January?PoliticsYesResolved$11.7¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$424¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on January 30?WeatherYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 42°F or higher on January 25?WeatherYesResolved$695¢0.0¢-$6
XRP Up or Down - January 16, 5AM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?TechYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-05?Soccer (other)YesResolved$234¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 28?CryptoNoResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$419¢0.0¢-$4
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of January?FinanceNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 28?FinanceDownResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 56°F or higher on January 29?WeatherYesResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - January 2, 8AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1878¢0.0¢-$18
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 30?CryptoNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - January 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will The Midnight Walk win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?Other sportsNoResolved$1385¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
US strike on Colombia by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 29?CryptoYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 30?CryptoNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 6AM ETCryptoUpResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 11PM ETCryptoDownResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-05?BundesligaYesResolved$336¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 12PM ETCryptoDownResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9PM ETCryptoUpResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$584¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "N Word" in January?MentionsYesResolved$12.5¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 8PM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?EconomyYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Moonshot have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?TechYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of January?FinanceNoResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 5AM ETCryptoUpResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $182 end of January?FinanceYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - January 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of January?FinanceNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - January 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$989¢0.0¢-$9
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1396¢0.0¢-$13
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on January 29?FinanceNoResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - December 15, 1PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2182¢0.0¢-$21
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1PM ETCryptoDownResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1399¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 2AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2157¢0.0¢-$21
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 1PM ETCryptoDownResolved$320¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$12.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in January 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?BundesligaYesResolved$228¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9AM ETCryptoUpResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 4PM ETCryptoDownResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1589¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Meta (META) close above $670 on January 29?FinanceNoResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Rockets vs. KingsNBARocketsResolved$1784¢0.0¢-$17
XRP Up or Down - January 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 6PM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?TechYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?TechYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
XRP Up or Down - January 16, 1AM ETCryptoDownResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1586¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1278¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2PM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$2.6K
Politics-$129
Finance-$128
Weather-$78
Mentions-$62
Basketball (other)-$58
Economy-$51
Soccer (other)-$40
La Liga-$36
Tech-$30
NBA-$29
Champions League+$16
Biggest hit
+$8
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?
Toughest beat
-$7
Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$51mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$51mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Memli Krasniqi be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$51mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$61mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?$81mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Phạm Thị Thanh Trà be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$81mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Lê Hoài Trung be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$81mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Lương Tam Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$81mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Nguyễn Hòa Bình be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$81mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$81mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?$81mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?$81mo ago