 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $2.2K | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$177 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $851 | 63¢ | 59¢ | -$50 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $594 | 40¢ | 43¢ | +$39 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $436 | 41¢ | 40¢ | -$15 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $352 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $378 | 71¢ | 64¢ | -$39 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $375 | 40¢ | 36¢ | -$40 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $340 | 38¢ | 29¢ | -$78 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $224 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $168 | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$7 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | Yes | $159 | 53¢ | 42¢ | -$33 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $61 | 39¢ | 71¢ | +$49 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $79 | 23¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $55 | 20¢ | 28¢ | +$19 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $111 | 14¢ | 7.5¢ | -$50 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $60 | 40¢ | 37¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | Yes | $76 | 10¢ | 7.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 8.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $26 | 19¢ | 22¢ | +$3 |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 30¢ | 29¢ | -$1 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $45 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | -$21 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $22 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$4 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 61¢ | 90¢ | +$5 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $33 | 57¢ | 23¢ | -$19 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
| Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 4.0¢ | 5.5¢ | +$1 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $109 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$109 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $246 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$246 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 3?Crypto | YesResolved | $169 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$169 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 24-30?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?Crypto | YesResolved | $37 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,500 on December 10?Crypto | YesResolved | $12 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 November 24-30?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 4?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Does Ox Alpha belong to Safe Superintelligence?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $90 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 4?Crypto | NoResolved | $163 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$163 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 4?Crypto | YesResolved | $7 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 3?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $149 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$149 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on December 10?Crypto | YesResolved | $44 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,500 on December 4?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 November 24-30?Crypto | YesResolved | $4 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $47 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $133 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$133 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $170 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on December 3?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $246 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$246 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 4?Crypto | YesResolved | $106 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 4?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 9?Crypto | NoResolved | $225 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$225 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 November 24-30?Crypto | YesResolved | $13 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |