← Whale Watch

50kcasestudy

Predicting since Apr 20266,701 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.9K on Weather markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $591 across 2 Crypto markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$17297¢100¢+$5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$14790¢100¢+$17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$4943¢59¢+$18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$7872¢57¢-$15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$5978¢80¢+$2
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansMLBCleveland Guardians$6050¢48¢-$3
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechNo$4989¢96¢+$4
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$4983¢88¢+$3
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$4983¢85¢+$1
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?PoliticsNo$4998¢99¢+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$5099¢99¢+$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$4997¢97¢+$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$5094¢92¢-$1
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$4988¢88¢-$0
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsNo$4997¢95¢-$1
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$4986¢84¢-$1
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$4992¢88¢-$2
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$5090¢84¢-$4
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsNo$4937¢32¢-$7
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsNo$2955¢70¢+$8
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$4962¢47¢-$12
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?PoliticsNo$2590¢100¢+$3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2488¢98¢+$3
Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsNo$2491¢100¢+$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2485¢92¢+$2
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?PoliticsYes$2589¢94¢+$1
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2595¢97¢+$1
Will Venezuela become 51st state?PoliticsNo$2494¢97¢+$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2496¢99¢+$1
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?PoliticsNo$2597¢98¢+$0
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$2599¢100¢+$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$2495¢97¢+$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2597¢96¢-$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$2488¢89¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?PoliticsNo$2496¢96¢-$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?PoliticsNo$2496¢95¢-$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?TechNo$2599¢95¢-$1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$2173¢80¢+$2
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?TechNo$1988¢100¢+$3
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$2570¢56¢-$5
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechNo$1978¢84¢+$1
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$2094¢96¢+$0
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1698¢100¢+$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$2733¢19¢-$12
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1195¢98¢+$0
Obama federally charged before 2027?PoliticsNo$1085¢95¢+$1
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$1064¢68¢+$1
Ledger IPO before 2027?TechNo$984¢91¢+$1
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$990¢96¢+$1
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$991¢95¢+$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$989¢93¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$550¢99¢+$5
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$442¢81¢+$4
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsNo$695¢98¢+$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechYes$1034¢21¢-$4
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoNo$595¢94¢-$0
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5MLBUnder$543¢41¢-$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$291¢97¢+$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$2121¢1.5¢-$19
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 2?WeatherNoResolved$2064¢0.0¢-$20
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansMLBDetroit TigersResolved$1947¢0.0¢-$19
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 2?WeatherNoResolved$2079¢0.0¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 17?WeatherNoResolved$1143¢0.0¢-$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?WeatherNoResolved$1965¢0.0¢-$19
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?CultureNoResolved$2015¢0.0¢-$20
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5MLBUnderResolved$1054¢0.0¢-$10
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2520¢0.0¢-$25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 1?WeatherNoResolved$2064¢0.0¢-$20
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5MLBUnderResolved$538¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 4?WeatherNoResolved$2066¢0.0¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?WeatherNoResolved$2058¢0.0¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?WeatherNoResolved$2061¢0.0¢-$20
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 6?WeatherNoResolved$2066¢0.0¢-$20
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5MLBUnderResolved$455¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 7?WeatherNoResolved$2068¢0.0¢-$20
Spread: United States (-1.5)World CupAustraliaResolved$1865¢0.0¢-$18
Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$1772¢0.0¢-$17
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?CryptoYesResolved$281.4¢0.0¢-$28
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)MLBKansas City RoyalsResolved$3361¢0.0¢-$33
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)World CupTunisiaResolved$174¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?WeatherNoResolved$2065¢0.0¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 7?WeatherNoResolved$665¢0.0¢-$6
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5MLBUnderResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5MLBUnderResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 4?WeatherNoResolved$2064¢0.0¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 3?WeatherNoResolved$2062¢0.0¢-$20
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)eSportsFURIAResolved$24946¢0.0¢-$249
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5World CupOverResolved$10046¢0.0¢-$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffseSportsThunderTalk GamingResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 3?WeatherNoResolved$2056¢0.0¢-$20
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceWorld CupGermanyResolved$018¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 2?WeatherNoResolved$1965¢0.0¢-$19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 6?WeatherNoResolved$2063¢0.0¢-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5MLBUnderResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 4?WeatherNoResolved$2068¢0.0¢-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First CornerWorld CupArgentinaResolved$10044¢0.0¢-$100
Spread: CSD Colo-Colo (-1.5)Soccer (other)CD CobresalResolved$1444¢0.0¢-$14
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 2?WeatherNoResolved$2056¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather-$4.9K
World Cup-$4.6K
Crypto-$1.2K
MLB-$565
eSports-$553
Politics-$257
Finance-$141
NBA-$129
Tennis-$99
Soccer (other)-$98
Other sports-$94
Culture-$71
Biggest hit
+$37
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 7?
Toughest beat
-$59
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 4?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Under · Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5$02d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 16?$62d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 17?$162d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 17?$182d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 15?$232d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 16?$252d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 17?$252d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 15?$252d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 16?$252d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 17?$252d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 16?$252d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on July 15?$252d ago