monty86

Predicting since Jan 2026147 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.3K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $1.7K riding on Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	Yes	$1.7K	91¢	91¢	-$8
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$1.6K	91¢	88¢	-$46
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$814	60¢	66¢	+$80
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech	No	$702	78¢	83¢	+$45
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$413	30¢	32¢	+$17
Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?Basketball (other)	Yes	$402	80¢	82¢	+$8
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics	Yes	$295	43¢	53¢	+$69
Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics	Yes	$182	49¢	56¢	+$22
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	No	$203	29¢	20¢	-$67
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics	Yes	$105	44¢	43¢	-$3
Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics	Yes	$72	16¢	11¢	-$25
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics	Yes	$44	18¢	17¢	-$2
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics	No	$235	42¢	2.8¢	-$220
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?Culture	YesResolved	$15	8.8¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 58m?Culture	YesResolved	$16	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech	YesResolved	$115	35¢	0.0¢	-$115
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?Culture	YesResolved	$20	6.6¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Politics	YesResolved	$150	40¢	0.0¢	-$150
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 77m?Culture	YesResolved	$12	17¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?Culture	NoResolved	$50	50¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Politics	YesResolved	$100	28¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?Culture	YesResolved	$5	5.6¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 33m and 36m?Culture	YesResolved	$33	13¢	0.0¢	-$33
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?Culture	YesResolved	$41	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$41
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?Culture	YesResolved	$2	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Economy	YesResolved	$8	4.2¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?Economy	YesResolved	$4	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Politics	YesResolved	$68	50¢	0.0¢	-$68
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?Culture	YesResolved	$100	25¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Politics	YesResolved	$36	27¢	0.0¢	-$36
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?Culture	YesResolved	$22	15¢	0.0¢	-$22
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?Culture	YesResolved	$10	19¢	0.0¢	-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.3K

Culture-$563

Tech+$188

World Cup-$125

Crypto-$92

Basketball (other)+$8

Economy+$3

Biggest hit

+$501

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Toughest beat

-$274

Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?$1991d ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?$131d ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?$421d ago
Bought Yes · Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$3032d ago
Sold Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$2972d ago
Bought Yes · Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$443d ago
Bought Yes · Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$1063d ago
Bought Yes · Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?$4073d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$4853d ago
Sold No · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$603d ago
Sold No · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$33d ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?$153d ago