cwelo

Predicting since Jun 202528 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Jony Ive out at OpenAI before August?Tech	YesResolved	$1	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?Economy	YesResolved	$1	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 24-30?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Politics	NoResolved	$5	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$5
Elon no longer world's richest before August?Tech	YesResolved	$1	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
US forces enter Iran by March 7?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	60¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Gonçalo Ramos be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?Tech	YesResolved	$1	34¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$1	6.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	32¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	43¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Politics	YesResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Ferland Mendy sign with a new club during the transfer window?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play in FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$2	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 24?Crypto	DownResolved	$3	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1	YesResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel strike on Iran on June 22?Politics	NoResolved	$2	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?MLB	YesResolved	$39	37¢	0.0¢	-$39
Will Jony Ive join Meta before August?Tech	YesResolved	$1	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

MLB-$39

Politics-$20

Baseball (other)+$11

Soccer (other)-$6

Tech-$4

Crypto-$2

Economy-$1

Formula 1-$1

Biggest hit

+$11

First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.

Toughest beat

-$4

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$394mo ago
Sold Dominican Rep. · First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.$394mo ago
Bought Dominican Rep. · First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.$284mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$24mo ago
Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by March 31?$14mo ago
Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by March 14?$14mo ago
Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by March 7?$14mo ago
Cashed out No · US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$14mo ago
Sold No · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?$34mo ago
Bought No · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?$14mo ago
Bought Yes · US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$54mo ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$14mo ago