ComeBackOrBust

Predicting since Oct 2024167 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.2K on NBA markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $1.6K riding on Claude 5 released by…?.

Biggest hit: +$6.7K on Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$262	6.7¢	0.0¢	-$262
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$260	13¢	0.0¢	-$260
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$19	41¢	0.0¢	-$19
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$19	7.4¢	0.0¢	-$19
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech	YesResolved	$315	26¢	0.0¢	-$315
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech	YesResolved	$125	9.7¢	0.0¢	-$125
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1.6K	79¢	0.0¢	-$1.6K
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$7	14¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech	NoResolved	$36	55¢	0.0¢	-$36
OpenAI browser by October 31?Tech	NoResolved	$92	66¢	0.0¢	-$92
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Tech	YesResolved	$282	6.9¢	0.0¢	-$282

Realized + open PnL by category

NBA-$4.2K

Tech-$3.1K

Boxing+$1.8K

Formula 1+$1.6K

Culture+$1.5K

Weather-$1.1K

Politics-$1.1K

Soccer (other)-$667

Crypto+$449

Economy-$141

Finance+$102

NFL+$2

Biggest hit

+$6.7K

Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?

Toughest beat

-$10K

Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?

Cashed out Yes · GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$8422mo ago
Bought Yes · GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$4623mo ago
Bought Yes · GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$103mo ago
Bought Yes · GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$1193mo ago
Bought Yes · GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$903mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?$53mo ago
Cashed out No · Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$1803mo ago
Bought Yes · GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$523mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$4005mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$3315mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.3K5mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$1955mo ago