 Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $21 | 90¢ | 79¢ | -$3 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 58¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
| Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?Politics | Yes | $9 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $9 | 86¢ | 58¢ | -$3 |
 Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 78¢ | 50¢ | -$2 |
| Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $24 | 59¢ | 5.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 2.0¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 46¢ | 10¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 10?Weather | YesResolved | $19 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 10?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 12?Weather | YesResolved | $52 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 12?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 1?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 28?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 3?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $23 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 4?Weather | YesResolved | $26 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 22?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 10?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 17?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 29?Weather | YesResolved | $32 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 14?Weather | YesResolved | $19 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 8?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 10?Weather | YesResolved | $27 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on July 7?Weather | YesResolved | $14 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 17?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 16?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 15?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5World Cup | OverResolved | $3 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?Weather | NoResolved | $8 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 25?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or higher on July 3?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on June 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 6?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 8?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 21?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 29?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?Weather | NoResolved | $9 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 6?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C or higher on July 3?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $11 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 8?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $11 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 29?Weather | YesResolved | $17 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on July 7?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $33 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $4 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 6?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?Weather | YesResolved | $84 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 1?Weather | NoResolved | $10 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 3?Weather | NoResolved | $4 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15?Weather | YesResolved | $17 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 10?Weather | NoResolved | $64 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on July 1?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 17?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 15?Weather | YesResolved | $77 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?Weather | YesResolved | $13 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on June 29?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?World Cup | NoResolved | $2 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 11?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 3?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 14?Weather | YesResolved | $18 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on July 3?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 29?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | FranceResolved | $6 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 18?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 26?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on June 28?Weather | YesResolved | $13 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on July 17?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 14?Weather | YesResolved | $11 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on July 1?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
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