← Whale Watch

Melody626

Predicting since Jan 20241,365 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $333K on Politics markets since Jan 2024.

Right now: $112K riding on New York City Mayoral Election.

Biggest hit: +$140K on GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$112K81¢100¢+$26K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?PoliticsYesResolved$53K48¢100¢+$57K
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?PoliticsYesResolved$50K77¢100¢+$15K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$42K76¢83¢+$3.6K
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?PoliticsNoResolved$22K69¢100¢+$10K
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?PoliticsYesResolved$18K69¢100¢+$8.3K
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$25K68¢68¢-$295
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?PoliticsYes$9.7K57¢98¢+$7.2K
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?CultureNo$9.6K61¢99¢+$6.0K
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$16K73¢65¢-$1.8K
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?CultureNo$4.0K72¢100¢+$1.6K
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$5.0K66¢66¢-$3
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?PoliticsYes$3.0K71¢100¢+$1.2K
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?CultureYes$3.0K44¢63¢+$1.3K
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$2.5K22¢22¢+$35
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?PoliticsYes$34829¢98¢+$817
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureNo$3.8K51¢16¢-$2.6K
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?CultureYes$77312¢13¢+$93
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?OtherNoResolved$20028¢100¢+$503
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?PoliticsNo$46666¢99¢+$229
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$31849¢100¢+$331
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$15055¢100¢+$122
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?CultureYesResolved$16266¢100¢+$82
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$17984¢100¢+$34
Will between 219 and 220 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?PoliticsNoResolved$9961¢100¢+$63
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$11791¢100¢+$12
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?CultureYesResolved$4335¢100¢+$80
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?CultureYesResolved$6363¢100¢+$37
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$6970¢100¢+$30
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?CultureYesResolved$7786¢100¢+$12
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?CultureNoResolved$7686¢100¢+$13
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?CultureYesResolved$2236¢100¢+$39
Will Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$3565¢100¢+$19
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?CultureNoResolved$1770¢100¢+$7
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?PoliticsNo$59260¢1.8¢-$575
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?PoliticsAlaskaResolved$1061¢100¢+$6
AP calls Georgia by 8:00 AM Nov 6? PoliticsYesResolved$1063¢100¢+$6
Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$1087¢100¢+$1
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?PoliticsNoResolved$337¢100¢+$5
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?PoliticsNo$30967¢1.6¢-$302
Will Oracle buy TikTok?PoliticsNoResolved$348¢100¢+$4
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?PoliticsYesResolved$4.9K27¢0.0¢-$4.9K
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$1.6K58¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Spread: England (-1.5)World CupEnglandResolved$95050¢0.0¢-$950
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?CryptoYesResolved$3.8K48¢0.0¢-$3.8K
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$1.3K60¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?PoliticsNoResolved$3.1K6.3¢0.0¢-$3.1K
Will Oracle buy TikTok?PoliticsYesResolved$4.0K60¢0.0¢-$4.0K
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?PoliticsYesResolved$14K59¢0.0¢-$14K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?PoliticsNoResolved$7.5K65¢0.0¢-$7.5K
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiPoliticsYesResolved$19K62¢0.0¢-$19K
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$3.2K71¢0.0¢-$3.2K
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$10560¢0.0¢-$105
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?PoliticsYesResolved$1.9K4.3¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Spain to win the second half?World CupYesResolved$1.4K43¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$2.2K73¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?PoliticsYesResolved$1.8K80¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupNoResolved$13K61¢0.0¢-$13K
England leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$1.2K36¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?PoliticsNoResolved$7009.7¢0.0¢-$700
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$2.8K40¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$74037¢0.0¢-$740
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$16K27¢0.0¢-$16K
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3.8K65¢0.0¢-$3.8K
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$5.2K70¢0.0¢-$5.2K
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?PoliticsNoResolved$42K72¢0.0¢-$42K
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsDemocraticResolved$2041¢0.0¢-$20
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$2.8K57¢0.0¢-$2.8K
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5World CupOverResolved$1.2K59¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?PoliticsNoResolved$22562¢0.0¢-$225
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$1.8K19¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?World CupNoResolved$1.2K31¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?PoliticsNoResolved$7.1K33¢0.0¢-$7.1K
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$57556¢0.0¢-$575
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$1.9K83¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?CultureYesResolved$23511¢0.0¢-$235
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?CultureYesResolved$1629¢0.0¢-$16
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?PoliticsGOPResolved$3.3K23¢0.0¢-$3.3K
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 CornersWorld CupOverResolved$30155¢0.0¢-$301
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$13K66¢0.0¢-$13K
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?CryptoYesResolved$1.5K15¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?World CupYesResolved$1.6K39¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?World CupYesResolved$9.4K84¢0.0¢-$9.4K
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$9.8K16¢0.0¢-$9.8K
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?PoliticsNoResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$1.8K76¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?World CupNoResolved$37821¢0.0¢-$378
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?CultureYesResolved$11K29¢0.0¢-$11K
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World CupYesResolved$1.3K37¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 6?PoliticsNoResolved$2.2K18¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersWorld CupUnderResolved$65748¢0.0¢-$657
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$2.4K39¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total CornersWorld CupUnderResolved$32040¢0.0¢-$320
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$1.2K31¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$78457¢0.0¢-$784
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$3317¢0.0¢-$33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?PoliticsNoResolved$3.7K62¢0.0¢-$3.7K
TikTok sale announced in 2025?TechNoResolved$8.9K27¢0.0¢-$8.9K
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?PoliticsYesResolved$19K53¢0.0¢-$19K
Will Republicans control 221 seats in the House after the election?PoliticsYesResolved$7.1K45¢0.0¢-$7.1K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$333K
World Cup-$274K
Crypto+$84K
Culture-$58K
NFL+$34K
Olympics+$30K
Finance-$29K
Mentions-$27K
College Hoops+$18K
Other+$14K
Tech-$13K
Basketball (other)+$11K
Biggest hit
+$140K
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?
Toughest beat
-$93K
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$11027s ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$22m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$262m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$262m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$02m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$02m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$82m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$372m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$12m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$22m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$22m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$62m ago