Belfart

Predicting since Oct 202560 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Politics	No	$20	25¢	34¢	+$7
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics	Yes	$20	17¢	18¢	+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$15	75¢	77¢	+$0
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Politics	No	$10	65¢	66¢	+$0
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?Premier League	No	$10	70¢	71¢	+$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	Yes	$10	60¢	54¢	-$1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	YesResolved	$25	13¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?Mentions	NoResolved	$5	61¢	0.0¢	-$5
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$40	54¢	0.0¢	-$40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	29¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$30	17¢	0.0¢	-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	22¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during cabinet meeting?Mentions	YesResolved	$5	70¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?Mentions	YesResolved	$5	55¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$30	78¢	0.0¢	-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$15	52¢	0.0¢	-$15
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup	ArgentinaResolved	$5	32¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	34¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	8.4¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?Mentions	YesResolved	$11	64¢	0.0¢	-$11
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World Cup	YesResolved	$10	43¢	0.0¢	-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$783

Crypto-$73

Mentions-$24

Economy-$16

La Liga+$12

World Cup+$11

Culture+$10

Soccer (other)-$6

Premier League+$0

Biggest hit

+$727

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$64

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$2019h ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?$1519h ago
Bought No · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?$1019h ago
Bought Yes · Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1019h ago
Bought No · Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?$101d ago
Sold No · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?$1722d ago
Sold Yes · Trump renames AI by September 30?$43d ago
Bought Yes · Trump renames AI by September 30?$23d ago
Bought No · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?$203d ago
Bought No · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?$404d ago
Sold Yes · Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?$444d ago
Bought Yes · Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?$344d ago