Pablosmith53

Predicting since Nov 202540 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Tech	NoResolved	$20	18¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Culture	YesResolved	$3	57¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?NFL	YesResolved	$3	13¢	0.0¢	-$3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Crypto	YesResolved	$2	8.6¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$2	6.8¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$60	8.6¢	0.0¢	-$60
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto	YesResolved	$3	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Crypto	YesResolved	$3	26¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 17?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	21¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on December 24?Crypto	YesResolved	$3	16¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 31 or later?Tech	YesResolved	$20	2.2¢	0.0¢	-$20
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$25	31¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$50	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$50
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$30	26¢	0.0¢	-$30

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$147

Culture-$67

Crypto-$58

Tech-$57

Finance-$36

Economy+$8

Tennis-$7

NFL-$3

Formula 1+$2

Biggest hit

+$40

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Toughest beat

-$121

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Sold Yes · Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?$144mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?$65mo ago
Sold Yes · Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$55mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$315mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?$365mo ago
Sold Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$355mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?$146mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$306mo ago
Sold Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$436mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on December 24?$37mo ago
Bought Yes · Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$17mo ago
Bought Yes · Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$27mo ago