 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $11 | 49¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.2¢ | 2.1¢ | +$4 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 54¢ | 13¢ | -$23 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.7¢ | 2.9¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.4¢ | 3.1¢ | +$2 |
 Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.2¢ | 0.8¢ | -$3 |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $11 | 3.9¢ | 1.1¢ | -$8 |
 Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$2 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ | 1.3¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $10 | 15¢ | 4.2¢ | -$7 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.1¢ | 1.7¢ | -$2 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.3¢ | 5.3¢ | +$0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $1 | 0.8¢ | 1.7¢ | +$1 |
 Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | +$0 |
| Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.2¢ | 2.3¢ | +$0 |
 Will MrBeast's latest video get 24 million or more views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?College Football | YesResolved | $40 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $12 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get 12–14 million views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 16, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $19 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Percent" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Israel or the US target Tehran?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other) | YesResolved | $6 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Trump out as President by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bought Yes · Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$14d ago
Bought Yes · Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$14d ago
Sold Yes · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$54d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$196d ago