← Whale Watch

Toyflagman

Predicting since May 2026173 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$119.0¢3.4¢-$7
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$12.0¢3.1¢+$1
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?EconomyYes$14.5¢7.0¢+$1
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?PoliticsYes$16.9¢10¢+$0
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsYes$14.0¢5.7¢+$0
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$13.0¢4.2¢+$0
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?TechYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?PoliticsYesResolved$12.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Reform UK win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?PoliticsYesResolved$12.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in May?PoliticsYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?CultureYesResolved$14.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?Champions LeagueNoResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?eSportsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$14.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$12.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?PoliticsNoResolved$12.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?CryptoYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?PoliticsNoResolved$14.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?PoliticsNoResolved$11.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?CultureYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?PoliticsYesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?CultureYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Timberwolves vs. SpursNBATimberwolvesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?PoliticsYesResolved$12.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?PoliticsYesResolved$14.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$12.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?CryptoYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?CultureNoResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Harman Bhangu win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$14.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?eSportsNoResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Thunder Parley finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?CryptoYesResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$14.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.6¢0.0¢-$1
76ers vs. KnicksNBA76ersResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$16.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?CultureNoResolved$12.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Georgia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$12.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$14.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?CryptoYesResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?PoliticsYesResolved$12.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?PoliticsNoResolved$13.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?PoliticsYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Cerebras IPO before 2027?TechNoResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?CultureYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?TechYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$19.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?PoliticsNoResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Over $300M committed to the ALIGN public sale?CryptoYesResolved$14.8¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$32
Culture+$27
Crypto-$19
World Cup-$11
Economy-$9
Weather-$8
NBA-$6
eSports-$5
Formula 1-$2
Champions League-$2
Finance-$1
Mentions-$1
Biggest hit
+$44
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Toughest beat
-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?$725d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$51mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11mo ago