← Whale Watch

rocky42018

Predicting since Jun 20256,397 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.6K on Soccer (other) markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $628 across 11 Mentions markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.0K on US strike on Syria by December 19?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$24080¢87¢+$20
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?EconomyNo$30427¢21¢-$70
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$24488¢83¢-$15
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?OtherNo$113.5¢52¢+$155
Maduro guilty of all counts?PoliticsYes$279.0¢53¢+$129
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?PoliticsYes$16254¢52¢-$8
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$12550¢49¢-$2
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$12844¢41¢-$9
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoYes$8216¢21¢+$21
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$8657¢61¢+$6
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on July 27?WeatherNo$32765¢17¢-$244
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$8377¢77¢-$1
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? GolfNo$5016¢24¢+$27
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 27?WeatherYes$8148¢45¢-$6
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoYes$6314¢17¢+$12
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$10938¢26¢-$36
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Mac revenue be above $9B?FinanceYes$11342¢25¢-$47
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$5685¢97¢+$9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27?WeatherNo$6473¢72¢-$2
Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $30B?FinanceNo$14142¢18¢-$81
Will Clavicular visit the United Kingdom in 2026?CultureYes$10535¢20¢-$47
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?EconomyYes$20227¢7.6¢-$144
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?PoliticsYes$10930¢16¢-$52
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 27?WeatherNo$5095¢96¢+$1
Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFLYes$4742¢45¢+$3
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$5027¢27¢-$0
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$7743¢24¢-$34
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 27?WeatherNo$4159¢59¢-$0
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?PoliticsYes$3311¢13¢+$6
Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-30?Soccer (other)No$3631¢33¢+$2
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$14649¢12¢-$110
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$5418¢12¢-$19
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$3324¢25¢+$1
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?PoliticsYes$279.0¢11¢+$5
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?CultureNo$2431¢39¢+$6
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2690¢99¢+$3
Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$378.7¢6.5¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 27?WeatherNo$3078¢71¢-$3
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Mac revenue be above $9.5B?FinanceYes$5920¢8.8¢-$33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27?WeatherYes$3034¢28¢-$5
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? PoliticsYes$2910¢8.5¢-$4
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?EconomyYes$2215¢16¢+$2
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2558¢56¢-$1
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$2055¢68¢+$5
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$2412¢12¢-$1
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?PoliticsYes$2244¢44¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 27?WeatherYes$1913¢14¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?PoliticsYes$2444¢32¢-$7
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsYes$3612¢5.5¢-$20
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$1423¢27¢+$2
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$165.4¢4.9¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 27?WeatherYes$147.7¢7.5¢-$0
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$1748¢39¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?WeatherYes$1158¢62¢+$1
Will US annex any territory in 2026?PoliticsYes$4214¢3.8¢-$31
Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFLNo$1156¢55¢-$0
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?PoliticsYes$1323¢19¢-$2
Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$1120¢20¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?WeatherNo$1142¢39¢-$1
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?PoliticsYes$724¢27¢+$1
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?EconomyYes$1715¢6.5¢-$10
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$723¢22¢-$0
Will Rodrigues win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?MLSYes$02.6¢43¢+$6
Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$627¢28¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 27?WeatherNo$590¢86¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?WeatherNo$579¢79¢-$0
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?BoxingYes$613¢10¢-$1
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?TechYes$4522¢2.4¢-$40
Will Andrés Reyes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?MLSYes$00.2¢7.1¢+$5
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 27?WeatherNo$558¢56¢-$0
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?TechNo$486¢97¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?WeatherYes$419¢22¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on July 27?WeatherYes$126¢84¢+$3
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?PoliticsNo$354¢62¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?PoliticsYes$520¢12¢-$2
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?PoliticsYes$435¢26¢-$1
Will Dany Rosero win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?MLSYes$919¢5.4¢-$7
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$319¢17¢-$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$72.3¢0.8¢-$5
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$140¢75¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 27?WeatherYes$240¢41¢+$0
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?PoliticsNo$289¢85¢-$0
Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026?CryptoNo$149¢89¢+$1
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?NBAYes$72.3¢0.5¢-$5
Will Movsar Evloev fight Alexander Volkanovski next?UFC / MMANo$04.0¢16¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 27?WeatherYes$213¢8.0¢-$1
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$176¢83¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 27?WeatherYes$1816¢1.1¢-$17
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?PoliticsYes$114¢23¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Soccer (other)-$2.6K
eSports+$2.1K
Crypto-$1.2K
Champions League-$1.2K
NHL+$1.1K
Premier League+$981
Tech+$939
NBA+$866
MLB+$804
Mentions+$687
Other sports-$628
Weather-$597
Biggest hit
+$1.0K
US strike on Syria by December 19?
Toughest beat
-$1.8K
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?$01m ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?$04m ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?$04m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 27?$54m ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?$15m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?$16213m ago
  • Bought No · Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?$2025m ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?$031m ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?$032m ago
  • Sold Turun Palloseura · Spread: HJK Helsinki (-1.5)$833m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?$535m ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?$036m ago