 Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?Finance | No | $8 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will MrRolex win the Aster trading competition?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?Culture | YesResolved | $61 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Tech | YesResolved | $17 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will NFT #1526 win the Based trading competition?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will KongBTC win the Defi App trading competition?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI’s GPT 5.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will 0xJack win the Aster trading competition?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Gold Mansacks win the Orderly trading competition?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $8 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Unknown’s Mystery Model win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | NoResolved | $33 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 US strike on Iran on June 23?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Kimi’s Kimi K2 Thinking lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Anthropic’s Claude Sonnet 4.5 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will NFT #318 win the Based trading competition?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Google’s Gemini 3 Pro win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Kimi’s Kimi K2 Thinking win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $29 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Will NFT #200 win the Based trading competition?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Tennessee Volunteers · Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines$2403mo ago