← Whale Watch

garbagecollect2

Predicting since Feb 20267,070 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.7K on Crypto markets since Feb 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Solana reach $100 in July?CryptoYes$400.9¢0.9¢-$0
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in July?FinanceYes$291.1¢1.5¢+$9
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?PoliticsYes$251.2¢1.4¢+$3
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?MLSYes$101.1¢3.0¢+$17
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$190.3¢0.4¢+$3
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsYes$200.7¢0.8¢+$2
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$230.3¢0.3¢-$2
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$120.4¢0.7¢+$9
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$100.3¢0.5¢+$9
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$181.1¢1.1¢+$1
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$150.5¢0.6¢+$3
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$170.8¢0.9¢+$1
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?NBAYes$131.1¢1.5¢+$5
Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$143.1¢3.8¢+$3
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsYes$140.7¢0.9¢+$3
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$142.4¢2.9¢+$3
Will XRP reach $1.80 in July?CryptoYes$270.4¢0.3¢-$10
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?PoliticsYes$131.7¢2.2¢+$4
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?PoliticsYes$91.1¢1.9¢+$7
Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsYes$140.6¢0.7¢+$2
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1T yuan?FinanceNo$140.5¢0.5¢+$1
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?NBAYes$401.4¢0.5¢-$25
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$120.7¢0.9¢+$4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?CryptoYes$292.7¢1.5¢-$13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 1?CryptoNo$142.4¢2.4¢+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?PoliticsYes$291.9¢0.9¢-$15
Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$281.5¢0.8¢-$14
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$200.5¢0.4¢-$6
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$151.5¢1.4¢-$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$90.6¢0.9¢+$5
Will Solana reach $110 in July?CryptoYes$270.7¢0.4¢-$14
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$131.1¢1.1¢-$0
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$120.4¢0.4¢+$1
Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?NBAYes$120.9¢0.9¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the MA-08 House seat?PoliticsYes$142.6¢2.1¢-$3
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$110.5¢0.5¢+$1
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$142.6¢2.1¢-$3
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?CryptoYes$91.0¢1.3¢+$2
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in July?FinanceYes$91.1¢1.4¢+$2
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?WeatherNo$272.4¢0.9¢-$16
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$100.3¢0.3¢-$0
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in July?FinanceYes$80.9¢1.1¢+$2
Will Solana dip to $60 in July?CryptoYes$112.0¢1.8¢-$1
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$80.2¢0.3¢+$2
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?WeatherNo$131.2¢0.9¢-$3
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$70.4¢0.5¢+$3
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?CryptoYes$140.4¢0.3¢-$5
Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?PoliticsYes$142.0¢1.3¢-$5
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?Other sportsYes$65.8¢8.1¢+$2
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$83.4¢3.6¢+$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$112.1¢1.5¢-$3
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?Soccer (other)No$143.7¢1.9¢-$7
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$50.4¢0.5¢+$2
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$51.4¢1.8¢+$1
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$131.4¢0.8¢-$6
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?CultureYes$82.0¢1.7¢-$1
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$100.7¢0.4¢-$4
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$61.1¢1.1¢-$0
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$50.7¢0.9¢+$1
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsYes$92.6¢1.7¢-$3
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$160.5¢0.2¢-$10
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$94.1¢2.6¢-$3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$30.8¢1.4¢+$2
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$40.4¢0.5¢+$1
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$31.1¢2.1¢+$2
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsNo$62.7¢2.3¢-$1
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?La LigaYes$40.5¢0.5¢+$0
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?TechYes$131.5¢0.5¢-$8
Will Taylor Dearden – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?CultureYes$148.0¢2.4¢-$10
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $285 in July?FinanceYes$91.2¢0.6¢-$4
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$32.3¢3.8¢+$2
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 49.0 in July?EconomyYes$32.0¢2.5¢+$1
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$30.4¢0.5¢+$1
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$33.0¢4.2¢+$1
Will Fabio Cannavaro be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?OtherYes$41.3¢1.5¢+$0
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$40.3¢0.3¢-$0
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$40.5¢0.4¢-$0
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$42.1¢2.3¢+$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$10.3¢0.8¢+$2
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$30.4¢0.4¢+$0
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsYes$40.9¢0.8¢-$0
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?PoliticsNo$33.1¢4.0¢+$1
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$111.6¢0.4¢-$8
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?PoliticsYesResolved$02.1¢100¢+$3
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyYes$30.4¢0.4¢+$0
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$30.3¢0.4¢+$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$50.4¢0.3¢-$2
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?CryptoYes$21.1¢1.6¢+$1
Will Juan Ayuso win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYes$140.2¢0.1¢-$11
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$21.4¢1.9¢+$1
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?PoliticsYesResolved$07.1¢100¢+$3
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$20.6¢0.7¢+$0
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsYes$30.3¢0.3¢+$0
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 5?CryptoYesResolved$01.2¢100¢+$2
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$20.2¢0.3¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$62.9¢1.2¢-$3
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$320.7¢0.1¢-$29
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 90 mph?WeatherNo$114.8¢1.0¢-$9
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?TechYesResolved$05.0¢100¢+$2
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYes$22.8¢3.4¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$1.7K
Tennis-$1.2K
Tech-$919
Politics-$860
World Cup-$859
NBA-$286
Finance-$251
eSports-$251
Formula 1-$227
Golf+$144
Other sports-$137
MLB+$122
Biggest hit
+$264
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?
Toughest beat
-$35
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$15m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$05m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$011m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$016m ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$418m ago
  • Bought No · Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$018m ago
  • Bought No · Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$124m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$032m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$035m ago
  • Bought No · Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?$1435m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Fabio Cannavaro be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$237m ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$2449m ago