Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $349 | 54¢ | 44¢ | -$70 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $58 | 48¢ | 76¢ | +$33 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $52 | 52¢ | 86¢ | +$34 |
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $15 | 4.4¢ | 15¢ | +$36 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $58 | 29¢ | 26¢ | -$7 |
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 6.8¢ | 12¢ | +$20 |
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $27 | 18¢ | 26¢ | +$12 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 0.9¢ | 0.8¢ | -$6 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | Yes | $28 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$3 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | No | $46 | 58¢ | 38¢ | -$16 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $29 | 1.9¢ | 1.8¢ | -$0 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | Yes | $18 | 15¢ | 24¢ | +$10 |
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$3 |
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Politics | Yes | $33 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$8 |
Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $42 | 42¢ | 24¢ | -$19 |
Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?Culture | Yes | $16 | 31¢ | 43¢ | +$6 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | Yes | $29 | 36¢ | 24¢ | -$10 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Economy | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 94¢ | +$17 |
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 68¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
Will “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Culture | Yes | $4 | 0.4¢ | 1.3¢ | +$8 |
Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $12 | 7.4¢ | 7.3¢ | -$0 |
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.9¢ | 2.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $12 | 3.2¢ | 2.5¢ | -$2 |
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLS | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.9¢ | +$7 |
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 4.3¢ | 2.1¢ | -$8 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 5.9¢ | 3.4¢ | -$5 |
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 6.0¢ | 6.7¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 5.1¢ | 6.7¢ | +$2 |
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | Yes | $7 | 3.7¢ | 3.3¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 4.0¢ | 3.1¢ | -$2 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 5.9¢ | 5.8¢ | -$0 |
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLS | Yes | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLS | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ | 1.0¢ | +$4 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.9¢ | 0.4¢ | -$5 |
Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $3 | 0.5¢ | 0.8¢ | +$2 |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 3.1¢ | 0.7¢ | -$15 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Politics | Yes | $14 | 7.0¢ | 2.1¢ | -$10 |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$1 |
Will “Abbott Elementary” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Culture | Yes | $2 | 0.9¢ | 1.6¢ | +$2 |
Will Morez Johnson Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?NBA | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | +$0 |
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLS | Yes | $7 | 0.7¢ | 0.3¢ | -$4 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 1.2¢ | 1.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$0 |
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $4 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 13¢ | 3.5¢ | -$7 |
Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $3 | 2.5¢ | 1.8¢ | -$1 |
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.1¢ | 1.7¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.4¢ | 1.6¢ | -$2 |
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$0 |
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.2¢ | 4.5¢ | -$0 |
Will “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Culture | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$0 |
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)UFC / MMA | Kauê FernandesResolved | $43 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be in the headlines this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $80 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?Culture | YesResolved | $38 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will James Taylor be the Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $36 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Dan HookerResolved | $10 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?Culture | NoResolved | $4 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Iran target Oman by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win <25 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?Politics | YesResolved | $39 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
Will ParentSquare be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Lululemon say "Iran" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Ian Machado GarryResolved | $25 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will SPD win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $27 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $43 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $28 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $1.7K | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |