 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $759 | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $450 | 21¢ | 21¢ | -$11 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $388 | 84¢ | 82¢ | -$12 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $327 | 52¢ | 50¢ | -$15 |
 Spread: Texas (-1.5)Other sports | Ohio State | $274 | 49¢ | 49¢ | -$3 |
 Will Isa Ali Ibrahim Pantami win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $220 | 82¢ | 75¢ | -$20 |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | No | $201 | 76¢ | 68¢ | -$20 |
 Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Politics | Yes | $169 | 83¢ | 74¢ | -$19 |
 Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | No | $139 | 68¢ | 60¢ | -$17 |
 Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $153 | 87¢ | 69¢ | -$33 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Culture | No | $177 | 63¢ | 39¢ | -$68 |
 Will Václav Trojan be the next Mayor of Brno?Politics | No | $147 | 86¢ | 62¢ | -$41 |
 Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $132 | 72¢ | 55¢ | -$32 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Other sports | Yes | $106 | 43¢ | 34¢ | -$23 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Politics | No | $90 | 83¢ | 71¢ | -$14 |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Tech | No | $133 | 83¢ | 46¢ | -$60 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $75 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
 Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Culture | Yes | $235 | 74¢ | 23¢ | -$164 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $63 | 7.8¢ | 7.8¢ | -$0 |
 Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Politics | No | $95 | 37¢ | 23¢ | -$37 |
 Will Lucas Barreto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?Politics | No | $77 | 73¢ | 52¢ | -$22 |
 Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Politics | No | $66 | 41¢ | 34¢ | -$12 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Tech | No | $61 | 85¢ | 72¢ | -$10 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Politics | No | $54 | 74¢ | 68¢ | -$5 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Finance | Yes | $48 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
 Will Yakubu Adamu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $60 | 42¢ | 31¢ | -$16 |
 Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?eSports | No | $44 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Premier League | No | $44 | 40¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
 Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $55 | 63¢ | 50¢ | -$12 |
 Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $47 | 74¢ | 67¢ | -$5 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $46 | 92¢ | 79¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $39 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
 Will Milena Quiroga Romero win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?Politics | No | $48 | 86¢ | 68¢ | -$10 |
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Culture | No | $49 | 91¢ | 70¢ | -$11 |
 Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $41 | 64¢ | 57¢ | -$4 |
 Will Mikael Andersson Elfgren be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?Politics | No | $56 | 83¢ | 53¢ | -$20 |
 Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | No | $36 | 70¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $62 | 52¢ | 30¢ | -$26 |
 Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $53 | 50¢ | 33¢ | -$18 |
 Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $66 | 55¢ | 28¢ | -$32 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $62 | 3.1¢ | 1.7¢ | -$29 |
 Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Politics | No | $38 | 43¢ | 35¢ | -$8 |
 Will Chloe Foster win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Politics | No | $44 | 88¢ | 61¢ | -$13 |
 Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Politics | Yes | $57 | 94¢ | 50¢ | -$27 |
 Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $46 | 61¢ | 40¢ | -$16 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $31 | 82¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Economy | Yes | $36 | 70¢ | 57¢ | -$7 |
 Will Harshan Ramadass win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election?Politics | No | $41 | 57¢ | 41¢ | -$12 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Politics | No | $33 | 86¢ | 75¢ | -$4 |
 Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $37 | 81¢ | 61¢ | -$9 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Politics | Yes | $28 | 22¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Politics | No | $78 | 29¢ | 9.5¢ | -$53 |
 Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $30 | 89¢ | 75¢ | -$5 |
 Phantasmal Flames Booster Box Price Over/Under $393.19 on September 30?Culture | Over | $32 | 57¢ | 44¢ | -$7 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?Politics | No | $32 | 82¢ | 64¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Politics | No | $28 | 82¢ | 73¢ | -$3 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $34 | 35¢ | 26¢ | -$9 |
 Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Politics | No | $37 | 52¢ | 35¢ | -$12 |
 Will the Republican Party win the PA-14 House seat?Politics | No | $30 | 7.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will Retief Odendaal be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?Politics | Yes | $37 | 56¢ | 36¢ | -$13 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?Politics | No | $26 | 84¢ | 74¢ | -$3 |
 Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics | No | $27 | 80¢ | 64¢ | -$6 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $25 | 79¢ | 66¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $22 | 86¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% in September?Economy | No | $28 | 84¢ | 60¢ | -$8 |
 Will Marina JHC win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Politics | No | $20 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 40%-45%?Politics | No | $24 | 85¢ | 69¢ | -$5 |
 Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?Culture | Yes | $24 | 65¢ | 52¢ | -$5 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $19 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Politics | Yes | $56 | 40¢ | 14¢ | -$37 |
 Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?Bundesliga | No | $25 | 55¢ | 42¢ | -$6 |
 Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?Politics | No | $21 | 74¢ | 64¢ | -$3 |
 Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $52 | 72¢ | 26¢ | -$33 |
| Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $34 | 67¢ | 37¢ | -$15 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?Politics | No | $25 | 76¢ | 55¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 40%-45%?Politics | No | $21 | 84¢ | 71¢ | -$3 |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $21 | 84¢ | 73¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 15%-20%?Politics | No | $22 | 84¢ | 69¢ | -$4 |
| Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $32 | 38¢ | 22¢ | -$14 |
 Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September?Politics | No | $26 | 72¢ | 50¢ | -$8 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Tech | Yes | $37 | 24¢ | 12¢ | -$19 |
 Will Otaviano Pivetta win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $21 | 60¢ | 50¢ | -$4 |
 Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $25 | 89¢ | 63¢ | -$7 |
 Will Guillaume Rousseau win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | No | $24 | 51¢ | 37¢ | -$7 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?Politics | No | $22 | 80¢ | 64¢ | -$4 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30?Economy | No | $21 | 74¢ | 61¢ | -$4 |
 Will Mohammed Ashiru Isa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $21 | 90¢ | 74¢ | -$4 |
 Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $20 | 85¢ | 73¢ | -$3 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 35¢ | 30¢ | -$3 |
 Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?UFC / MMA | No | $19 | 92¢ | 80¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 67¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 35%-40%?Politics | No | $19 | 83¢ | 71¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election by 50%-55%?Politics | No | $20 | 86¢ | 69¢ | -$4 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?Politics | No | $26 | 80¢ | 48¢ | -$10 |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 91¢ | 77¢ | -$3 |
 Will Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $18 | 22¢ | 18¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 15%-20%?Politics | No | $21 | 81¢ | 58¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 20%-25%?Politics | No | $17 | 82¢ | 72¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat?Politics | No | $18 | 6.0¢ | 5.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?Culture | No | $17 | 80¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
MERGE Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$347m ago
Bought No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?$118m ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$169m ago
Sold Yes · Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$51712m ago
MERGE Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.0K14m ago