← Whale Watch

Niqidron

Predicting since Jun 2026188 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$574¢94¢+$1
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?PoliticsNo$213¢30¢+$3
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?CultureYes$429¢31¢+$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$437¢38¢+$0
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechYes$544¢28¢-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$391¢93¢+$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$391¢92¢+$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$385¢85¢-$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$385¢85¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$371¢68¢-$0
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$281¢95¢+$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$287¢93¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?PoliticsNo$288¢92¢+$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$284¢88¢+$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsNo$290¢94¢+$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$282¢84¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$283¢85¢+$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?CultureNo$149¢100¢+$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?PoliticsNo$287¢86¢-$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$291¢88¢-$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$341¢26¢-$1
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?PoliticsNo$288¢82¢-$0
Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?PoliticsNo$279¢69¢-$0
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$160¢97¢+$1
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Hilal?Soccer (other)No$156¢91¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$164¢100¢+$1
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Ittihad?Soccer (other)No$158¢88¢+$1
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?PoliticsNo$138¢57¢+$0
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?EconomyNo$152¢78¢+$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?CultureNo$168¢98¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$153¢74¢+$0
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?PoliticsNo$150¢64¢+$0
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$149¢62¢+$0
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$153¢67¢+$0
Will Tina Browne  be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$179¢98¢+$0
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Soccer (other)No$158¢72¢+$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$181¢98¢+$0
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Soccer (other)Yes$124¢28¢+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$150¢59¢+$0
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$157¢67¢+$0
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on July 31?PoliticsNo$171¢83¢+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$186¢100¢+$0
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$174¢86¢+$0
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?PoliticsNo$180¢91¢+$0
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$183¢94¢+$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$184¢95¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?PoliticsNo$187¢98¢+$0
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$190¢100¢+$0
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsNo$190¢100¢+$0
Kash Patel out by July 31?PoliticsNo$191¢99¢+$0
Will Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?CultureNo$187¢93¢+$0
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?CultureYes$148¢52¢+$0
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)No$186¢90¢+$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$135¢37¢+$0
Will Ro Khanna be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsNo$188¢92¢+$0
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?EconomyNo$159¢61¢+$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$17.1¢7.2¢+$0
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?PoliticsNo$191¢93¢+$0
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?PoliticsNo$155¢56¢+$0
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?PoliticsNo$164¢65¢+$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechNo$188¢90¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsNo$189¢91¢+$0
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyNo$172¢73¢+$0
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?EconomyNo$180¢81¢+$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$187¢88¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?PoliticsNo$190¢91¢+$0
Will the longest match at Wimbledon 2026 be 5+ hours long?TennisNoResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$24.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 12?CryptoNoResolved$16.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?TechYesResolved$175¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Tariff" at Defense and Innovation Summit?MentionsNoResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$168¢0.0¢-$1
Will the longest match at Wimbledon 2026 be 4+ hours long?TennisNoResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?CultureNoResolved$164¢0.0¢-$1
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?EconomyNoResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jac Caglianone advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?MLBYesResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Fertilizer" this week?MentionsYesResolved$43.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$2215¢0.0¢-$22
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 13?FinanceYesResolved$223¢0.0¢-$2
Will India win?CricketNoResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Speech to the Nation?MentionsNoResolved$160¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?CultureNoResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?MentionsYesResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$191¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?PoliticsNoResolved$19.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will the longest match at Wimbledon 2026 be 7+ hours long?TennisYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Team Yandex to win 2-0?eSportsNoResolved$146¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureYesResolved$162¢0.0¢-$1
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?EconomyNoResolved$22.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Terence Crawford win the award for Best Fighter at the 2026 ESPY Awards?Other sportsNoResolved$173¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" this week?MentionsYesResolved$51.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will Junior Caminero advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?MLBYesResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$163¢0.0¢-$1
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?FinanceUpResolved$528¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?CultureNoResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$173¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 25?CultureNoResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$20
Politics+$19
Mentions-$14
Finance-$9
Tech-$6
Tennis-$4
MLB-$3
Cricket-$2
Formula 1-$1
Soccer (other)+$1
Other sports-$1
eSports-$1
Biggest hit
+$17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$113h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$11d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$11d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?$13d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?$15d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump post "Ronaldo" on Truth Social this week?$16d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the announcers say "Foul" 12+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$16d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 18, 2026?$17d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the announcers say "Foul" 12+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$27d ago
  • Bought No · Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?$17d ago
  • Sold No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$07d ago
  • Bought No · Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?$17d ago