← Whale Watch
jmarcafella
Up $16K on Politics markets since Jun 2022.
Right now: $20K riding on US x Venezuela military engagement by...?.
Biggest hit: +$34K on Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $500 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.4K | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $4.1K | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.1K |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.7K | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1000 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1000 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.4K | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.4K |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.6K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
 Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?Politics | YesResolved | $250 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$250 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3.4K | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.4K |
 Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.2K | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20K | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20K |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics+$16K
Other+$3.1K
Boxing-$1.2K
Crypto-$163
Biggest hit
+$34K
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Toughest beat
-$3.9K
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Recent moves
- Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$8065mo ago
- Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$7505mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.6K5mo ago- Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$10005mo ago
- Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$6365mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.6K5mo ago
- Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$6055mo ago
- Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$5005mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.1K5mo ago
- Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$1.5K5mo ago
- Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$10005mo ago
- Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$5005mo ago