← Whale Watch

doug1234

Predicting since Mar 202689 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechYes$2169¢74¢+$1
Will Meta reach $730 in April?FinanceYesResolved$2238¢0.0¢-$22
Will Amazon reach $276 in April?FinanceYesResolved$5346¢0.0¢-$53
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2068¢0.0¢-$20
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$105.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4075¢0.0¢-$40
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$4521¢0.0¢-$45
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?PoliticsNoResolved$1230¢0.0¢-$12
Nothing Ever Happens: MayPoliticsSomethingResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?TechYesResolved$5737¢0.0¢-$57
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?FinanceNoResolved$2549¢0.0¢-$25
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$4169¢0.0¢-$41
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupNoResolved$3571¢0.0¢-$35
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?EconomyYesResolved$1321¢0.0¢-$13
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$4348¢0.0¢-$43
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$2665¢0.0¢-$26
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$146.3¢0.0¢-$14
Will Amazon reach $296 in April?FinanceYesResolved$1118¢0.0¢-$11
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$3071¢0.0¢-$30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsYesResolved$1023¢0.0¢-$10
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$104.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump visit China by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1836¢0.0¢-$18
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$1332¢0.0¢-$13

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance-$152
World Cup-$97
Politics+$61
Champions League+$57
Tech+$49
Economy+$5
Culture-$1
Biggest hit
+$69
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Toughest beat
-$103
US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3625d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$7025d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$6026d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$328d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$128d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$628d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$3528d ago
  • Bought No · Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?$1228d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$4428d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3029d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$821mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$311mo ago