← Whale Watch

Vandelay.Industries

Predicting since Dec 2025111 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.6K on Crypto markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $2.0K riding on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9AM ET.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9AM ET.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$98452¢0.0¢-$984
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$49251¢0.0¢-$492
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 4PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2541¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$98451¢0.0¢-$984
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$49251¢0.0¢-$492
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1018¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$49252¢0.0¢-$492
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$336¢0.0¢-$3
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2021¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$98451¢0.0¢-$984
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2052¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$2033¢0.0¢-$20
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$70.7¢0.0¢-$7
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 18?FinanceUpResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$24652¢0.0¢-$246
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?TechYesResolved$6262¢0.0¢-$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$98451¢0.0¢-$984
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$49251¢0.0¢-$492
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3333¢0.0¢-$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2053¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$4051¢0.0¢-$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? CultureYesResolved$31.6¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$49251¢0.0¢-$492
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$10054¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12AM ETCryptoDownResolved$10039¢0.0¢-$100
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$33.3¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2141¢0.0¢-$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2.0K52¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$3040¢0.0¢-$30
Blackhawks vs. HurricanesNHLHurricanesResolved$2074¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$49251¢0.0¢-$492
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2049¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$7951¢0.0¢-$79
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1AM ETCryptoDownResolved$9854¢0.0¢-$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2053¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$25012¢0.0¢-$250
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1051¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6PM ETCryptoDownResolved$98448¢0.0¢-$984
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2050¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2049¢0.0¢-$20
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)NBAJazzResolved$2049¢0.0¢-$20
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1.3K0.6¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$6039¢0.0¢-$60
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1373.3¢0.0¢-$137
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2010.0¢0.0¢-$20
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$5002.5¢0.0¢-$500
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$3051¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$24651¢0.0¢-$246
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? CultureYesResolved$42.1¢0.0¢-$4
Patriots vs. BroncosNFLBroncosResolved$2033¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "USIFTA" or "NAFTA" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?MentionsYesResolved$660¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2451¢0.0¢-$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11PM ETCryptoDownResolved$20050¢0.0¢-$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 11AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2055¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$452¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$98451¢0.0¢-$984
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$6051¢0.0¢-$60

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$3.6K
Politics-$2.9K
Tech+$25
NHL-$20
NFL-$20
NBA+$13
Culture-$7
eSports+$7
Finance-$5
Economy+$4
Mentions-$1
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9AM ET
Toughest beat
-$237
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$04mo ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9AM ET$04mo ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1164mo ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9AM ET$7724mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$604mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9AM ET$4004mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9AM ET$5004mo ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9AM ET$9654mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$104mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$2504mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9AM ET$5004mo ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$104mo ago