← Whale Watch

vino1234

Predicting since Dec 2025990 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $20K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $704 riding on Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?.

Biggest hit: +$4.5K on Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?OtherNo$52850¢65¢+$164
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?OtherNo$50846¢62¢+$176
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?PoliticsNo$70472¢66¢-$64
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsNo$53384¢97¢+$83
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?PoliticsNo$47532¢37¢+$71
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$44286¢98¢+$60
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$35465¢87¢+$120
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?PoliticsNo$37982¢94¢+$58
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?PoliticsYes$36845¢53¢+$66
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsNo$30067¢78¢+$44
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$29392¢99¢+$22
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?PoliticsNo$31189¢86¢-$12
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by July 30?PoliticsNo$27491¢97¢+$20
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$30373¢69¢-$16
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?PoliticsYes$25240¢44¢+$22
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?PoliticsNo$21363¢69¢+$23
FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?TechNo$13917¢28¢+$90
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?PoliticsNo$16887¢99¢+$23
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?PoliticsNo$14868¢80¢+$26
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?PoliticsNo$12776¢90¢+$23
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$19428¢21¢-$47
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Other sportsNo$15526¢24¢-$9
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12391¢99¢+$10
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$9213¢17¢+$23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$886.0¢7.2¢+$18
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?TechOpenAI$21923¢11¢-$114
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?PoliticsNo$9372¢79¢+$8
Will FISA Section 702 be reauthorized by July 31?OtherNo$7374¢100¢+$25
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5355¢100¢+$43
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?PoliticsNo$3845¢97¢+$45
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$6476¢85¢+$8
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$4931¢26¢-$8
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$2144¢71¢+$13
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? TechNo$2894¢99¢+$2
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2582¢95¢+$4
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsYes$14036¢6.5¢-$115
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?PoliticsNo$2057¢67¢+$3
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsYes$4124¢14¢-$18
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?PoliticsNo$1151¢95¢+$10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$1581¢95¢+$2
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?PoliticsNo$421¢67¢+$8
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?PoliticsYes$718¢25¢+$2
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?PoliticsYes$1028¢20¢-$3
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$27.7¢21¢+$3
Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $3B and $3.6B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$5720¢1.5¢-$53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsNo$2422¢2.5¢-$21

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$20K
Mentions+$2.7K
Tech+$1.1K
Economy+$954
Other+$513
Finance+$362
NFL+$329
World Cup+$124
NBA+$108
Culture-$107
Crypto-$41
UFC / MMA+$24
Biggest hit
+$4.5K
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Toughest beat
-$848
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?$5446m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?$1346m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?$11646m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?$647m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?$1247m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$953m ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?$831h ago
  • Bought No · Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?$711h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$311h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$1341h ago
  • Bought No · Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?$3031h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?$31h ago