← Whale Watch

Umaroth

Predicting since May 20253,454 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.5K on World Cup markets since May 2025.

Right now: $2.8K across 2 Soccer (other) markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1.8K60¢56¢-$113
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K96¢99¢+$46
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$1.5K39¢40¢+$11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.0K86¢85¢-$18
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$96012¢12¢-$45
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$86730¢31¢+$24
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$76625¢27¢+$73
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsNo$64061¢79¢+$178
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$79079¢80¢+$5
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$1.1K91¢58¢-$400
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$62171¢74¢+$21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?PoliticsNo$49599¢98¢-$5
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$50839¢37¢-$27
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?PoliticsYes$57658¢43¢-$146
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsYes$41182¢85¢+$13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$41517¢17¢-$11
Will Trump say "Steel" during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$37074¢74¢-$3
Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$31679¢76¢-$14
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$25853¢54¢+$2
Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsYes$23177¢68¢-$27
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$30849¢32¢-$112
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$22110.0¢6.5¢-$77
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsNo$8245¢69¢+$43
Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?MentionsNo$4033¢33¢-$1
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?PoliticsYes$3317¢21¢+$7
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsNo$28519¢2.3¢-$251
Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsYes$8614¢4.5¢-$58
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechYes$3742¢28¢-$13
Will Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsYes$2480¢81¢+$0
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$1846¢49¢+$1
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5649¢13¢-$41
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$442¢57¢+$2
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?CultureNo$463¢76¢+$1
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$5751¢0.0¢-$57
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during remarks in Georgia?MentionsYesResolved$3313¢0.0¢-$33
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$3263¢0.0¢-$32
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?World CupNoResolved$5553¢0.0¢-$55
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?World CupNoResolved$418.9¢0.0¢-$41
Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$444¢0.0¢-$4
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?TechYesResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during White House Correspondents Dinner?MentionsYesResolved$4919¢0.0¢-$49
Will Trump say "Fake News" during remarks in Georgia?MentionsNoResolved$726¢0.0¢-$7
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$20166¢0.0¢-$201
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?World CupNoResolved$1121¢0.0¢-$11
Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?MentionsNoResolved$34748¢0.0¢-$347
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?CryptoYesResolved$39457¢0.0¢-$394
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?World CupYesResolved$419¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Ronaldo" or "Messi" or "Pele" during June 24 Rally?MentionsYesResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Kenan Yıldız score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$24036¢0.0¢-$240
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWorld CupUnited StatesResolved$37951¢0.0¢-$379
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$44044¢0.0¢-$440
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?PoliticsYesResolved$18724¢0.0¢-$187
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3425.7¢0.0¢-$342
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$504.0¢0.0¢-$50
Will the announcers say "Corner" 12+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$6172¢0.0¢-$61
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$64463¢0.0¢-$644
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceWorld CupCôte dIvoireResolved$40737¢0.0¢-$407
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?World CupNoResolved$5772¢0.0¢-$57
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?World CupNoResolved$30030¢0.0¢-$300
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?World CupNoResolved$73549¢0.0¢-$735
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?World CupNoResolved$1161¢0.0¢-$11
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2905.8¢0.0¢-$290
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5640¢0.0¢-$56
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupEnglandResolved$82555¢0.0¢-$825
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?World CupNoResolved$010¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

World Cup-$4.5K
Politics-$3.0K
Soccer (other)-$409
Mentions-$170
Tech+$155
Finance-$98
Crypto-$80
Culture+$65
UFC / MMA-$28
Tennis+$19
Economy-$14
Other+$9
Biggest hit
+$315
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
Toughest beat
-$572
US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$214m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$231m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$248m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$21h ago