 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $249 | 51¢ | 47¢ | -$21 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $228 | 38¢ | 32¢ | -$36 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $85 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$4 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $24 | 8.0¢ | 12¢ | +$12 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $38 | 25¢ | 23¢ | -$4 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | No | $23 | 56¢ | 68¢ | +$5 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Crypto | Yes | $57 | 28¢ | 12¢ | -$34 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 65¢ | 74¢ | +$3 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $52 | 19¢ | 6.5¢ | -$34 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $32 | 32¢ | 17¢ | -$15 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 36¢ | 38¢ | +$0 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 18¢ | 7.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 21-27?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 9.7¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 79¢ | 3.3¢ | -$38 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?NFL | NoResolved | $2 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?Crypto | YesResolved | $7 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by March 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25?World Cup | YesResolved | $47 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
| Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Artemis II launch by February 28?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Artemis II launch by March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $24 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Culture | YesResolved | $9 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Google say "Privacy" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Google reach $385 in February?Finance | YesResolved | $6 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 7-13?Crypto | YesResolved | $28 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
 Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?Other sports | YesResolved | $7 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $9 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?Other sports | YesResolved | $7 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Tech | NoResolved | $19 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$502d ago