← Whale Watch

neitherconfirmnordeny

Predicting since Dec 2024109 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?PoliticsYesResolved$67.1¢100¢+$73
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?PoliticsNoResolved$6089¢100¢+$7
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?PoliticsNoResolved$5092¢100¢+$4
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?PoliticsNoResolved$4791¢100¢+$4
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$2985¢100¢+$5
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$2789¢100¢+$3
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$2072¢100¢+$8
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?PoliticsNoResolved$2595¢100¢+$1
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$2086¢100¢+$3
Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? PoliticsYesResolved$420¢100¢+$18
Will another coalition form the next German Government?PoliticsNoResolved$2094¢100¢+$1
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?PoliticsNoResolved$1260¢100¢+$8
Will the Left be part of the next German government?PoliticsNoResolved$1598¢100¢+$0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?TechNoResolved$1172¢100¢+$4
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?EconomyNoResolved$1068¢100¢+$5
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? PoliticsNoResolved$1074¢100¢+$4
Will FDP be part of the next German government?PoliticsNoResolved$1084¢100¢+$2
Will BSW be part of the next German government?PoliticsNoResolved$1093¢100¢+$1
Will Ukraine join NATO before July?PoliticsNoResolved$993¢100¢+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$443¢100¢+$6
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? PoliticsNoResolved$559¢100¢+$3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$591¢100¢+$1
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?PoliticsYesResolved$590¢100¢+$1
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?PoliticsNoResolved$484¢100¢+$1
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?PoliticsYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1329¢0.0¢-$13
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?PoliticsNoResolved$36.6¢0.0¢-$3
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? PoliticsYesResolved$1535¢0.0¢-$15
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYesResolved$734¢0.0¢-$7
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?PoliticsNoResolved$1052¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?PoliticsYesResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Assad leaves Russia before 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?PoliticsYesResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$316¢0.0¢-$3
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?PoliticsYesResolved$39.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Greens be part of the next German government?PoliticsYesResolved$1037¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Greens win the second most seats in the next German election?PoliticsYesResolved$53.8¢0.0¢-$5
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$721¢0.0¢-$7
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?PoliticsNoResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$63
Other-$60
Mentions+$54
Finance-$45
Weather-$27
Tech-$4
Economy+$3
Biggest hit
+$25
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
Toughest beat
-$46
Will the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?$101y ago
  • Bought No · Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$201y ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$201y ago
  • Sold No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$61y ago
  • Sold Yes · OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?$61y ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?$81y ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?$111y ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?$31y ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$91y ago
  • Sold Yes · Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $181y ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Trump transgender sports ban?$01y ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?$01y ago